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Brad Pitt and Angelina won't stop at six -- where's the next one coming from?

Current forecast: Adopted from Africa (29% chance1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Adopted from Africa with a probability of 29% (down 1% in last 1 day)

The arrival of the twins (whenever that is: http://www.hubdub.com/m7518/Baby_watch_When_will_Angelinas_twins_arrive ) will take the brood to 6 kids. They will have 3 natural born children and 3 adopted.

Brad has said he wants a football team (that's 5 more!) and Angelina has been clear that there will be more children as well.

So where will the next Jolie-Pitt member come from? Or is 6 enough?

Countries by continent:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_continent

Maddox was adopted in March 2002 from Cambodia
Zahara was adopted in July 2005 from Ethopia
Shiloh was born May 2006
Pax was adopted in March 2007 from Vietnam
Twins will be born summer 2008

<Please note, this is, potentially, a long term market>


Settlement details: Clearly, the twins are not counted in this market -- if they adopt again before the twins are born, this will void.

We can settle this on the announcement of another pregnancy, even if they adopt after announcing a pregnancy, we will count the baby in the womb as coming first.

Will settle as Other (or none) if they have not announced a pregnancy or plans to adopt more children by the suspend date.

If they break up, we can settle as 'other'.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Another natural born child (includes multiples)
10%
Adopted from North America
6%
Adopted from South America
14%
Adopted from Europe
6%
Adopted from Asia
15%
Adopted from Oceania (includes Australia)
8%
Adopted from Africa
29%
Other or they do not adopt by suspend date
11%
Activity: H$3,966
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Another natural born child (includes multiples): 15%, Adopted from North America: 10%, Adopted from South America: 15%, Adopted from Europe: 5%, Adopted from Asia: 10%, Adopted from Oceania (includes Australia): 10%, Adopted from Africa: 25%, Other or they do not adopt by suspend date: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 10th Jun 2:42pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (40)

40 predictions

2 weeks ago
quorny predicted Adopted from South America (H$100 at 13%)
2 weeks ago
camicalm predicted Other or they do not adopt by suspend date (H$100 at 10%)
6 weeks ago
camicalm predicted Adopted from Africa (H$100 at 31%)
8 weeks ago
tschneider81 predicted Other or they do not adopt by suspend date (H$60 at 11%)
8 weeks ago
tschneider81 predicted Other or they do not adopt by suspend date (H$20 at 10%)
more

Comments (4)

Glad to see you're back Jen :-D
posted 24 weeks ago
Did I go somewhere?
posted 24 weeks ago
OK magazine thinks an Ethopian boy may take the family to 9 before the end of the summer:
http://www.hollyscoop.com/angelina-jolie/angelina-adopting-a-boy_16491.aspx
posted 23 weeks ago
Angelina confirms they intend to adopt again and "soon"! But from where??
http://www.people.com/people/article/0,,20233542,00.html
posted 6 weeks ago

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