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Did Samuel Israel the hedge fund fraud fake his death?

Settled as Yes

http://www.reuters.com/article/hedgeFundsNews/idUSNOA72556420080617

Background:


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
80%
No
20%
Activity: H$24,717
Settled as Yes on Wed 18th Jun 11:51am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) Settlement date: Wed 18th Jun 11:51am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 11th Jun 8:06pm PDT by coolkraft
Suspended Wed 18th Jun 4:43am PDT by mork[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Wed 18th Jun 4:43am PDT by mork[Power User]: http://www.reuters.com/article/hedgeFundsNews/idUSNOA72556420080617 (market suspended)
Settled as 'No' Wed 18th Jun 10:02am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.reuters.com/article/hedgeFundsNews/idUSNOA72556420080617
Previous action withdrawn Wed 18th Jun 11:51am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.reuters.com/article/hedgeFundsNews/idUSNOA72556420080617
Settled as 'Yes' Wed 18th Jun 11:51am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.reuters.com/article/hedgeFundsNews/idUSNOA72556420080617

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) Settlement date: Wed 18th Jun 11:51am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (42)

42 predictions

22 weeks ago
letmewinplees[Power User] predicted No (H$20 at 20%)
22 weeks ago
letmewinplees[Power User] predicted No (H$20 at 20%)
22 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 80%)
22 weeks ago
notablenotices[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 79%)
22 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted No (H$50 at 21%)
more

Comments (9)

This guy is dumb - cheating people out of money isn't cool unless he would be a politician. Then the Democrats would tell us it is "re-distribution of wealth" and call him a hero.
posted 23 weeks ago
No, "re-distribution of wealth" is what a Socialist would call it. The Democrats call it, "taxing the rich", and the Republicans call it "compassionate conservatism". The result is the same in all cases, though.
posted 23 weeks ago
nicely said. choosing between the parties is like choosing what color rope you want to be hung from...
posted 23 weeks ago
Very nicely said as well :D I shall steal that phrase for my own personal use if you don't mind
posted 23 weeks ago
  5 coolkraft
US marshals reported today that he did not commit suicide and they are actively searching for him
posted 22 weeks ago
Seeing as this is only a two lane bridge (with a toll keeper, and several not so good cameras) I find it really hard to believe that no one saw him (either jump or walk away from his SUV..or writing on the windshield for that matter)There is a way to track EZPass crossing, did anyone go through using EZPass at that time? Maybe they can ask those people if they saw anything
posted 22 weeks ago
  7 chatarra
Tue Jun 17, 2008 3:09am EDT
Missing U.S. fund manager Israel not dead
http://www.reuters.com/article/hedgeFundsNews/idUSNOA72556420080617

June 17, 2008, 9:17 am
It’s Official: Feds Call Former Bayou CEO a Fugitive from the Law
http://blogs.wsj.com/law/2008/06/17/its-official-feds-call-former-bayou-ceo-a-fugitive-from-the-law/
posted 22 weeks ago
  8 chatarra
As for witnesses, there probably aren't any. At least not any that can do any harm.
If it were me, I would have written the cryptic note on the dust of the vehicle, before starting my journey. Been dressed in dark clothing, wearing a wig and sun glasses, at dusk or later, to fool cameras and witnesses. I would have followed my get away driver, so that I could pull up behind him on the bridge and get into his car immediately and leave the scene with as little fan fare as possible.

Conversation after ditching Samuel Israel's car probably went like this:
"Here is the $10,000 I promised you for this trip.
To the airport - James"
posted 22 weeks ago
  9 ryanj[Admin]
Hi everyone,

I need to apologize here. When I settled the market I settled it incorrectly, therefore resulting in the "no settlement." The market should've been settled as yes and it has now been resettled.

Apologies,

Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
posted 22 weeks ago

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