Created Wed 11th Jun 8:48pm PDT by loren

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Will the existence of Bigfoot be confirmed by science in 2008?

Current forecast: 5% chance 5%

Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 5% likely to happen (down 5% in last 1 day)

Settlement details: Question will settle as Yes if a legitimate scientific journal describes a bipedal ape population living in North America, and designate it with a scientific genus and species. As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Will the existence of Bigfoot be confirmed by science in 2008?

    Yes

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	Yes	5%
	No	95%

Activity: H$43,032

Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 11th Jun 8:48pm PDT by loren

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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
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Predictions (151)

151 predictions

2 weeks ago

bipedprimate predicted No (H$100 at 94%)

3 weeks ago

drachenstein predicted No (H$500 at 94%)

3 weeks ago

guessing77 predicted No (H$20 at 94%)

3 weeks ago

rogerkni predicted Yes (H$200 at 6%)

3 weeks ago

tipsypaca predicted No (H$100 at 94%)

more

2 weeks ago

bipedprimate predicted No (H$100 at 94%)

3 weeks ago

drachenstein predicted No (H$500 at 94%)

3 weeks ago

guessing77 predicted No (H$20 at 94%)

3 weeks ago

rogerkni predicted Yes (H$200 at 6%)

3 weeks ago

tipsypaca predicted No (H$100 at 94%)

3 weeks ago

cookietime predicted No (H$2,500 at 94%)

3 weeks ago

nadine_dr_computer predicted No (H$300 at 94%)

3 weeks ago

wiredinstructor predicted No (H$100 at 89%)

3 weeks ago

rogerkni predicted Yes (H$500 at 9%)

3 weeks ago

rogerkni predicted Yes (H$100 at 8%)

3 weeks ago

silvermchic predicted No (H$500 at 92%)

3 weeks ago

fundo predicted No (H$200 at 92%)

3 weeks ago

sman1955 predicted No (H$300 at 92%)

3 weeks ago

kent1423 predicted No (H$1,164 at 91%)

3 weeks ago

actesq predicted No (H$12 at 91%)

3 weeks ago

actesq predicted No (H$20 at 91%)

3 weeks ago

heysteve predicted No (H$100 at 91%)

3 weeks ago

iceaxe5 predicted No (H$100 at 91%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (8)

  1 markov

It's already been proven. Haven't you seen the 'Messing With Sasquatch' commercial?

posted 24 weeks ago

  2 mork

http://youtube.com/watch?v=Gols8YLfpFI
http://youtube.com/watch?v=P8yd2N3tlRY

posted 24 weeks ago

  3 rogerkni

A couple of guys from Georgia claim they have a Bigfoot body in a freezer. There will be a press conference Friday in Pao Alto. Here's a link to a thread about it by Loren Coleman, who is cautiously optimistic, on his Cryptomundo blog:
http://www.cryptomundo.com/cryptozoo-news/ga-gorilla/

posted 16 weeks ago

  4 kruijs

Well, if it's not Bigfoot, maybe it's a Yeti?
http://www.hubdub.com/m12428/Will_the_Yeti_turn_out_to_be_real

posted 16 weeks ago

  5 dragonfangxl

Look everyone knows there is no such thing as Bigfoot. Its a monster that is often grouped together with santa claus and the easter bunny. Luckily enough theres sane people in the world yet because no is tallying in at 90 percent.

posted 15 weeks ago

  6 loren

Apparently, Bushnell (the binocular people) are offering a one million dollar prize for a verified photo of bigfoot. I wasn't aware of this prize when I posted the question, but I wish I'd known ... it'd have given me a different method of settlement.

http://www.livescience.com/strangenews/080604-badsci-bigfoot-bounty.html

posted 15 weeks ago

  7 mrperfkt

Wow a story dated 8/15 came out today (8/14). Maybe they really do know something!

http://www.asylum.com/2008/08/15/bigfoot-trackers-set-to-announce-big-find/?icid=100214839x1207772238x1200409182

posted 15 weeks ago

  8 dragonfangxl

@loren if you really do want to change it, ask a superuser to change it for you

posted 15 weeks ago

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