Where will the Dow Jones Average close on Friday, June 13, 2008?
12,307.35
Background:>
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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DJIA closes at or below 11,800.00 |
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DJIA will close between 11,800.01 and 11,900.00 |
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DJIA will close between 11,900.01 and 12,000.00 |
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DJIA will close between 12,000.01 and 12,100.00 |
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DJIA will close between 12,100.01 and 12,200.00 |
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DJIA will close between 12,200.01 and 12,300.00 |
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DJIA will close between 12,300.01 and 12,400.00 |
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DJIA will close at or over 12,400.01 |
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Suspend date: Fri 13th Jun 1:55pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 13th Jun 3:40pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 13th Jun 12:55pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: DJIA closes at or below 11,800.00: 3%, DJIA will close between 11,800.01 and 11,900.00: 7%, DJIA will close between 11,900.01 and 12,000.00: 10%, DJIA will close between 12,000.01 and 12,100.00: 22%, DJIA will close between 12,100.01 and 12,200.00: 26%, DJIA will close between 12,200.01 and 12,300.00: 22%, DJIA will close between 12,300.01 and 12,400.00: 8%, DJIA will close at or over 12,400.01: 2%
Action history:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EDJI
Suspend date: Fri 13th Jun 1:55pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 13th Jun 3:40pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 13th Jun 12:55pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (357)
357 predictions
Comments (13)
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Just wondering.
http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/charts/chartdl.aspx?Symbol=%24INDU&IntraDay=1
provides very timely (although not real) time quotes. It has many views available. You can customized the charts in many ways. Remember that Hubdub's prices, are not quoted in real time as well.
First off, you must understand that the company 'components' of each of the DOW, S&P, and NASDAQ, do overlap, and if there any significant reports that impact all three, then they will more or less, rise and fall, in unison.
Once you grasp that, follow www.msnbc.com 's stock & economy news. However, each day the link changes, so here's is what you do to set up ...
go to www.msnbc.com
under the catergories list,
select Business, and when the business section loads ...
select Stocks & Economy.
There, you will get a whole lot of opinions, but you'll also get a tool a feel has helped me very much.
You get to compare in relative 'real=time' how those indices are performing. You can then make your call as what the market is going to do and place your wagers on Hubdub.
Please do not forget ...
#1 While the markets are open, you are also wagering on where Hubdubbers are going.
#2 It is only at the very end of the day (4:00pm New York Time) that you need to be in the correct market.
Jerry
I also like the "non-in-play" questions of the same markets.
I think all "in play" questions need to be approved by the admins before they become active. Except those markets that have been live for some time now.
Once approved, an "in play" icon or some clear statement to warn hubdubbers of the "in-play" status should be standard.
@bcguelph ... everyone has ample internet resources to find background on any market. Please feel free to spend your day researching.
@dieseldog ... I and many others have lost a whole lot of $H by being in the right bucket one minute prior to suspend. There was one occasion, as recently as two weeks ago, where 93% of Hubdubbers lost in the last minute because of "last minute market adjustments". Those who wager when the bucket is over 80% do not stand to make a lot, and more than likely are NOT covering their other positions. Yes, being an early predictor can help, if the markets are stable. If the DOW, for instance, is volatile, it makes no difference. The DOW seems to be volatile about 1 day out of 5 recently, btw.
"its hard to lose on a question that suspends 1 minute before the dow closes. only way to make big money is to be one of the first betters. "
that statement is so ridiculous! I usually don't even bet until an hour before close, and depending on the market, i'm just as likely to lose as win....
it's about risk and foresight: i bet big on the celtics the other day on the in-game question when they were down by 24 pts....then went somewhere with no internet access to watch my money disappear....i won big.... we could make the same argument for any question that does not suspend before an event occurs... those with the best source and those that watch for outcomes are more likely to win...
I agree that ALL in-play markets should be marked as such, if for no other reason than to warn users who may not know that the market will be changing throughout the day. IF, they have wagered correctly, then they have nothing to worry about regarding the day-traders.
However, that said, in-play'ers check, wager, buy, sell, whatever, throughout the day, taking the odds wherever they may go. When that happens, users who buy in at a higher rate lose value immediately, and if they sell then, they have lost 'real' $H. So, many of us just let those wagers ride out the day, and in many cases, lose the whole wager. Oh, there are so many different angles on this particular market that a book could be written about it. But in short, in-play'ers are (just like the NBA in-plays) betting not just on where the DOW is going to close, but where the hubherd is thinking the DOW is heading.
I'm sure that the hubtopdogs won't detail their win-lose statment with us, but I would venture that they have sufferred losses of over $H50k in a day. And yes, they have probably gained that much as well.
"THIS IS AN IN-PLAY MARKET!" would come in handy.
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