Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Where will the Dow Jones Average close on Friday, June 13, 2008?

Settled as DJIA will close between 12,300.01 and 12,400.00

12,307.35

Background:

After a big loss on Wednesday, the Dow fought back strongly until the buyers began to leave towards the end of the day...still, the market wound up over 50 points for the day . . . how will the week end? Up or Down?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

DJIA closes at or below 11,800.00
13%
DJIA will close between 11,800.01 and 11,900.00
0%
DJIA will close between 11,900.01 and 12,000.00
0%
DJIA will close between 12,000.01 and 12,100.00
0%
DJIA will close between 12,100.01 and 12,200.00
1%
DJIA will close between 12,200.01 and 12,300.00
5%
DJIA will close between 12,300.01 and 12,400.00
76%
DJIA will close at or over 12,400.01
5%
Activity: H$49,543
Settled as DJIA will close between 12,300.01 and 12,400.00 on Fri 13th Jun 3:40pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 13th Jun 1:55pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 13th Jun 3:40pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 13th Jun 12:55pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: DJIA closes at or below 11,800.00: 3%, DJIA will close between 11,800.01 and 11,900.00: 7%, DJIA will close between 11,900.01 and 12,000.00: 10%, DJIA will close between 12,000.01 and 12,100.00: 22%, DJIA will close between 12,100.01 and 12,200.00: 26%, DJIA will close between 12,200.01 and 12,300.00: 22%, DJIA will close between 12,300.01 and 12,400.00: 8%, DJIA will close at or over 12,400.01: 2%

Action history:

Created Thu 12th Jun 3:19pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Fri 13th Jun 1:02pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: Flagged by super user: market closed
Settlement requested Fri 13th Jun 1:33pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: dow closes at 12,307.35
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EDJI
Settled as 'DJIA will close between 12,300.01 and 12,400.00' Fri 13th Jun 3:40pm PDT by robuk[Admin]: 12,307.35

Suspend date: Fri 13th Jun 1:55pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 13th Jun 3:40pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 13th Jun 12:55pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (357)

357 predictions

24 weeks ago
kennyk predicted DJIA will close between 12,300.01 and 12,400.00 (H$500 at 39%)
24 weeks ago
swilson predicted DJIA will close between 12,200.01 and 12,300.00 (H$1,100 at 74%)
24 weeks ago
kennyk predicted DJIA will close between 12,200.01 and 12,300.00 (H$1,000 at 88%)
24 weeks ago
djmassey predicted DJIA will close between 12,200.01 and 12,300.00 (H$1,000 at 86%)
24 weeks ago
slick predicted DJIA will close between 12,300.01 and 12,400.00 (H$200 at 13%)
more

Comments (13)

  1 bcguelph
Do players of these questions have access to live DJIA on screen updates, or do folks use delayed results such as CNN etc.?

Just wondering.
posted 24 weeks ago
  2 swilson
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaack!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
posted 24 weeks ago
  3 kennyk
I have an account with E*Trade where I can get real time market updates. I'm sure many others also have access to live updates.
posted 24 weeks ago
  4 cognos[Power User]
I use a slightly delayed, but very effective pair of reports.

http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/charts/chartdl.aspx?Symbol=%24INDU&IntraDay=1

provides very timely (although not real) time quotes. It has many views available. You can customized the charts in many ways. Remember that Hubdub's prices, are not quoted in real time as well.

First off, you must understand that the company 'components' of each of the DOW, S&P, and NASDAQ, do overlap, and if there any significant reports that impact all three, then they will more or less, rise and fall, in unison.


Once you grasp that, follow www.msnbc.com 's stock & economy news. However, each day the link changes, so here's is what you do to set up ...

go to www.msnbc.com
under the catergories list,
select Business, and when the business section loads ...
select Stocks & Economy.

There, you will get a whole lot of opinions, but you'll also get a tool a feel has helped me very much.

You get to compare in relative 'real=time' how those indices are performing. You can then make your call as what the market is going to do and place your wagers on Hubdub.

Please do not forget ...

#1 While the markets are open, you are also wagering on where Hubdubbers are going.
#2 It is only at the very end of the day (4:00pm New York Time) that you need to be in the correct market.

Jerry
posted 24 weeks ago
  5 bcguelph
Thanks!
posted 24 weeks ago
i have a delayed source as well, but gives direction in between the minute marks, also delayed... i wish i had a live feed.... but i'm ok with what i have, and i think the market is fair, because everyone has the OPPORTUNITY to get a live feed... i lose money, a lot yesterday, but i win, as well, and harbor no ill-will to any of the people with live feeds,,,, i could always watch where their bets are going, and follow suit.... and i'm sure they lose money as well.....
posted 24 weeks ago
  7 bcguelph
there could be a day when hubdub's top players all play one sort of question - financial, sport, etc. and the "insiders" are the clear cut winners based on more information than the rest of us.
posted 24 weeks ago
  8 dieseldog
i think HD should put a "in play" picture by the questions like they do in the sports cat. i've stated my view numerous times on these stock questions. its hard to lose on a question that suspends 1 minute before the dow closes. only way to make big money is to be one of the first betters.
posted 24 weeks ago
  9 cognos[Power User]
I like the "in play" questions, whether they are sports, business, or any other.
I also like the "non-in-play" questions of the same markets.
I think all "in play" questions need to be approved by the admins before they become active. Except those markets that have been live for some time now.
Once approved, an "in play" icon or some clear statement to warn hubdubbers of the "in-play" status should be standard.

@bcguelph ... everyone has ample internet resources to find background on any market. Please feel free to spend your day researching.

@dieseldog ... I and many others have lost a whole lot of $H by being in the right bucket one minute prior to suspend. There was one occasion, as recently as two weeks ago, where 93% of Hubdubbers lost in the last minute because of "last minute market adjustments". Those who wager when the bucket is over 80% do not stand to make a lot, and more than likely are NOT covering their other positions. Yes, being an early predictor can help, if the markets are stable. If the DOW, for instance, is volatile, it makes no difference. The DOW seems to be volatile about 1 day out of 5 recently, btw.

posted 24 weeks ago
@dieseldog:
"its hard to lose on a question that suspends 1 minute before the dow closes. only way to make big money is to be one of the first betters. "
that statement is so ridiculous! I usually don't even bet until an hour before close, and depending on the market, i'm just as likely to lose as win....
it's about risk and foresight: i bet big on the celtics the other day on the in-game question when they were down by 24 pts....then went somewhere with no internet access to watch my money disappear....i won big.... we could make the same argument for any question that does not suspend before an event occurs... those with the best source and those that watch for outcomes are more likely to win...
posted 24 weeks ago
  11 dieseldog
@congos..i'll agree is not a 100% sure thing. volatile 1 day out of 5 is pretty good odds. again check the recently settled and see how often over 90% of the money is on the correct answer on dow in plays. then check questions that ain't in play and see how many have that winning %. ask orlin or elly or even yourself if they win alot more than they lose. if there was no in play questions do you think people would have quartley gains over a millon? HD allows them so their legit. if they would mark them as in play so ALL HD'S knew what was going on they would get more players betting on them imho.
posted 24 weeks ago
  12 dieseldog
@tocm..it's about risk and foresight. what risk or foresight is there on betting on the market 1 minute before it closes? only time theres a risk on dow questions (ones that close 1 minute b4 dow does) is when the dow is closing with little diffence from previous day.
posted 24 weeks ago
  13 cognos[Power User]
@dieseldog
I agree that ALL in-play markets should be marked as such, if for no other reason than to warn users who may not know that the market will be changing throughout the day. IF, they have wagered correctly, then they have nothing to worry about regarding the day-traders.

However, that said, in-play'ers check, wager, buy, sell, whatever, throughout the day, taking the odds wherever they may go. When that happens, users who buy in at a higher rate lose value immediately, and if they sell then, they have lost 'real' $H. So, many of us just let those wagers ride out the day, and in many cases, lose the whole wager. Oh, there are so many different angles on this particular market that a book could be written about it. But in short, in-play'ers are (just like the NBA in-plays) betting not just on where the DOW is going to close, but where the hubherd is thinking the DOW is heading.

I'm sure that the hubtopdogs won't detail their win-lose statment with us, but I would venture that they have sufferred losses of over $H50k in a day. And yes, they have probably gained that much as well.

"THIS IS AN IN-PLAY MARKET!" would come in handy.
posted 24 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more