Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

When will the Cedar River fall below flood stage at Cedar City, Iowa?

Settled as June 18 or later

http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?cb_00065=on&cb_00065=on&format=html&period=7&site_no=05463050

Background:

On Thursday the Cedar River overran its banks and flowed into Cedar City. 4000 homes were evacuated and approximately 100 blocks were underwater. Flood stage is at 88 feet. As of 3:45 pm Central Time, the gage read 96.29 feet. River data is available at http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?cb_00065=on&cb_00065=on&format=html&period=7&site_no=05463050. http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hw95ek5Sllmi4SoQ_N4HJvwHE0ZAD918PCL81


Settlement details: As reported by http://waterdata.usgs.gov.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Before June 14
1%
June 15
1%
June 16
1%
June 17
5%
June 18 or later
91%
Activity: H$20,602
Settled as June 18 or later on Wed 18th Jun 9:45am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 17th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 18th Jun 9:45am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 17th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Before June 14: 20%, June 15: 20%, June 16: 20%, June 17: 20%, June 18 or later: 20%

Action history:

Created Thu 12th Jun 3:41pm PDT by onedave[Power User]
Suspended Tue 17th Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 18th Jun 2:46am PDT by onedave[Power User]: Please settle as June 18 or later. According to web site, the Cedar River has remained above 88 feet from the time of market creation until June 18. http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?cb_00065=on&cb_00065=on&format=html&period=7&site_no=05463050
Settlement requested Wed 18th Jun 7:04am PDT by Erik: It's the 18th.
Background states, "Flood stage is at 88 feet."
Settlement link states: 06/18/2008 08:00 AM 90.50 feet (http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?cb_00065=on&cb_00065=on&format=html&period=7&site_no=05463050)
Therefore, this market should be settled as "June 18 or later."

Suspend date: Tue 17th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 18th Jun 9:45am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 17th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (34)

34 predictions

24 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted June 17 (H$180 at 9%)
24 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted June 18 or later (H$1,800 at 85%)
24 weeks ago
myunion predicted June 18 or later (H$20 at 77%)
24 weeks ago
myunion predicted June 18 or later (H$50 at 70%)
24 weeks ago
renefischer predicted June 18 or later (H$1,000 at 67%)
more

Comments (0)

No comments yet

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more