Created Thu 12th Jun 4:39pm PDT by 
loren
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Will an extrasolar moon be discovered in 2008?
Current forecast: 5% chance 
3%
3%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 5% likely to happen (down 3% in last 1 day)
Scientists have found nearly 300 planets outside of our own solar system, but have yet to find a single moon. But the search continues. Will 2008 be the year that the first extrasolar moon is discovered?
For details, see http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25064934
For details, see http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25064934
Settlement details:
Question will settle as yes if NASA or an agency of similar reputation and profile makes an official announcement of the discovery of a moon outside of our solar system, and is reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$34,448
Question suspends in 3 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%
Action history:
Created Thu 12th Jun 4:39pm PDT by loren
loren
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (70)
70 predictions
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score: 10
Space.com 23 weeks ago
fall below that first-order threshold,' Williams said. So could these missions cut to the chase and spot an extrasolar moon directly? 'They might, if the light collectors are big enough and if the moons are big enough. It will be easier to see moons that
score: 10
Space.com 24 weeks ago
fall below that first-order threshold," Williams said. So could these missions cut to the chase and spot an extrasolar moon directly? "They might, if the light collectors are big enough and if the moons are big enough. It will be easier to see moons that
score: 10
Space.com 24 weeks ago
fall below that first-order threshold,' Williams said. So could these missions cut to the chase and spot an extrasolar moon directly? 'They might, if the light collectors are big enough and if the moons are big enough. It will be easier to see moons that
score: 10
Space.com 25 weeks ago
fall below that first-order threshold,' Williams said. So could these missions cut to the chase and spot an extrasolar moon directly? 'They might, if the light collectors are big enough and if the moons are big enough. It will be easier to see moons that
score: 10
Space.com 25 weeks ago
fall below that first-order threshold,' Williams said. So could these missions cut to the chase and spot an extrasolar moon directly? 'They might, if the light collectors are big enough and if the moons are big enough. It will be easier to see moons that
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