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How many Sea Dragon babies will survive longer than eight weeks in the Georgia Aquarium?

Settled as All of the sea dragon babies are dead by 8 weeks

Correspondence from Georgia Aquarium:

Hi Tisha. Thank you for your email. We were very excited about our sea dragons as well. Unfortunately none of the babies survived. Many of them were born prematurely or the eggs were infertile. From talking with the other facilities that have had sea dragon births, this is very common for first time fathers. We are very hopeful for the future and will keep everyone posted. Please let me know if you have any other questions.

Meghann Gibbons
Georgia Aquarium
Director, Public Relations

Background:

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080613/D918RQA80.html

A rare Weedy Sea Dragon at the Georgia Aquarium in Atlanta is pregnant, and is currently carrying 70 eggs. While survival rates for sea dragons in the wild are very low, in captivity they are estimated at 60%. How many of these sea dragon babies will survive eight weeks or more?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source or on the Georgia Aquarium website.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

All of the sea dragon babies are dead by 8 weeks
8%
1-25 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more
13%
25-50 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more
77%
50-70 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more
3%
Activity: H$7,450
Settled as All of the sea dragon babies are dead by 8 weeks on Sat 27th Sep 5:29pm PDT

Suspend date: Mon 15th Sep 1pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 27th Sep 5:29pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 15th Sep 1pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: All of the sea dragon babies are dead by 8 weeks: 30%, 1-25 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more: 20%, 25-50 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more: 40%, 50-70 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more: 10%

Action history:

Created Fri 13th Jun 11:58am PDT by loren
Suspended Mon 15th Sep 1pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'All of the sea dragon babies are dead by 8 weeks' Sat 27th Sep 5:29pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: Correspondence from Georgia Aquarium:

Hi Tisha. Thank you for your email. We were very excited about our sea dragons as well. Unfortunately none of the babies survived. Many of them were born prematurely or the eggs were infertile. From talking with the other facilities that have had sea dragon births, this is very common for first time fathers. We are very hopeful for the future and will keep everyone posted. Please let me know if you have any other questions.

Meghann Gibbons
Georgia Aquarium
Director, Public Relations

Suspend date: Mon 15th Sep 1pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 27th Sep 5:29pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 15th Sep 1pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (26)

26 predictions

11 weeks ago
isonomia predicted 25-50 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more (H$100 at 77%)
11 weeks ago
manni predicted 25-50 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more (H$100 at 73%)
11 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted 25-50 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more (H$100 at 63%)
11 weeks ago
jimgdawg predicted 25-50 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more (H$100 at 59%)
11 weeks ago
youngstowngirl predicted 25-50 baby sea dragons survive 8 weeks or more (H$20 at 59%)
more

Comments (3)

  2 randburg
Well? How ARE the little ones...?
posted 10 weeks ago
  3 tisha[Admin]
Trying to find out, randburg - there's not even any news of a birth. About to contact the aquarium direct, but if there is no response this question will have to be voided, unfortunately
posted 10 weeks ago

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