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Created Fri 13th Jun 12:21pm PDT by loren
All questions » Science » Scientific Discoveries » 

Will a prime number with at least 10,000,000 decimal digits be discovered in 2008?

Settled as Yes

The Great Internet Marsenne Prime Search (GIMPS) project and American computer manager Edson Smith have teamed up to find a prime number that is almost 13 million digits in length—the largest prime number ever found.

http://www.itwire.com/content/view/20739/1066/

Background:

The Electronic Frontier Foundation offers a standing prize of US$100,000 to the first person or group to discover a prime number with at least 10,000,000 decimal digits. Will 2008 be the year they have to pay up?

Official contest rules at http://w2.eff.org/awards/coop-prime-rules.php


Settlement details: Settled when award is announced, even if it is actually paid later. As reported by a major mainstream news source or on the EFF website.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Yes
29%
No
71%
Activity: H$12,006
Settled as Yes on Sun 21st Sep 6:14am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 10:59pm PST (3 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sun 21st Sep 6:14am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 23rd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Fri 13th Jun 12:21pm PDT by loren
Settlement requested Sat 20th Sep 6:08am PDT by freeze: Hi, mersene found one:
http://mersenne.org/
Suspended Sat 20th Sep 9:45am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Flagged by super user: Suspended pending review of settlement link.

Predictions made on or after August 23, 2008 ought be voided.
Settled as 'Yes' Sun 21st Sep 6:14am PDT by tisha[Admin]: The Great Internet Marsenne Prime Search (GIMPS) project and American computer manager Edson Smith have teamed up to find a prime number that is almost 13 million digits in length—the largest prime number ever found.

http://www.itwire.com/content/view/20739/1066/

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 10:59pm PST (3 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sun 21st Sep 6:14am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 23rd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (42)

42 predictions

10 weeks ago
pixelpaws predicted Yes (H$500 at 39%)
10 weeks ago
kent1423 predicted No (H$230 at 61%)
10 weeks ago
syzslack predicted Yes (H$150 at 39%)
10 weeks ago
freeze predicted Yes (H$50 at 38%)
10 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted Yes (H$50 at 38%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 pixelpaws
Looks like they've already found two, but these are pending validation.

http://www.sciam.com/blog/60-second-science/post.cfm?id=big-and-bigger-new-prime-numbers-cl-2008-09-16
posted 10 weeks ago

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