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Which flag will be prominently displayed - exterior of the Chrysler building on July 4th, 2008?

Voided

http://www.ameinfo.com/160035.html

The Abu Dhabi Investment Council plans to buy New York City's landmark Chrysler Building for $800m, reported the New York Post. The council is to acquire a 75% stake in the building from Germany's TMW Immobilien AG. Tishman Speyer Properties owns the remaining 25% and runs the building.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

By prominently I mean strategically visible over the primary, main, front entrance to the building.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

US American Flag
30%
Flag of the United Arab Emirates
30%
Any other flag
30%
No flag displayed whatsoever
10%
Voided Mon 16th Jun 3:28am PDT

Suspend date: Fri 4th Jul 8:59pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: US American Flag: 30%, Flag of the United Arab Emirates : 30%, Any other flag: 30%, No flag displayed whatsoever: 10%

Action history:

Created Fri 13th Jun 6:59pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Fri 13th Jun 7:43pm PDT by mork[Power User]: Flagged by super user: Is this settleable?
Settlement requested Sun 15th Jun 8:12am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]:
Void requested, with assent of question creator.

See comments #9 and #12.
Voided Mon 16th Jun 3:28am PDT by robuk[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 4th Jul 8:59pm PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (4)

4 predictions

24 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted US American Flag (H$200 at 62%)

Comments (15)

Do you think a major mainstream news source is going to report if there is a flag flying -- or if there isn't a flag flying?
posted 24 weeks ago
  3 mork[Power User]
I think newswrangler has a point Valor.

Neat question but....
I think this question needs a second look....I suspend.
posted 24 weeks ago
Umm,,, what is wrong with us? Selling landmarks?
posted 24 weeks ago
  5 bcguelph
TOCM - who is "us", are you assuming at Hubdubers are all americans?
posted 24 weeks ago
Here's what I think, on July 4th, the day that has the most flag waving in the United States, except maybe Flag Day there will be parades and activities all over the country, I think it would be a very obvious story if the flag flying on the most iconic building in NYC was something other than the US flag, so to answer your question, yes, I think it would be a story only IF the flag was something other than the US flag.

Or, as an alternative settlement I could ask the HD community, anyone in the area to simply look out the window and let us know.
posted 24 weeks ago
  7 mork[Power User]
Here's a live cam. It's too dark to tell but I think it only shows the top.
http://www.whereskong.com/index.html
posted 24 weeks ago
@ valornhonor -- I understand the point of the question (market) you are asking -- and it's an interesting one.

"... I think it would be a story only IF the flag was something other than the US flag."

I agree with you -- and that might settle one of the four options for this market ... it's settling the other three options successfully that's problematic.
posted 24 weeks ago
I concede your point, but I'd like to make it work somehow, any ideas newswrangler? I checked for webcams in the area and there were a couple that showed the building, but close up enough to view the existing flag.
posted 24 weeks ago
us is U.S., U is U.K.,
sorry, but i think we outnumber y'all on hubdub...
posted 24 weeks ago
@ Valornhonor -- the only thing that comes to mind is something like "Will any major mainstream news source report that the flag of the United Arab Emirates was flying on/at the exterior of the Chrysler building (405 Lexington Ave.) on July 4th, 2008?"

Might want to include either wording or options to include "with US Flag" or "no US Flag flown with UAE flag".

Maybe other users will have other suggestions.
posted 24 weeks ago
@ newswrangler - yep, that does sound better, I'll give it a day, if now one else chimes in with anything that sounds somehow better I'll likely repost like this.

Thanks.
posted 24 weeks ago
  13 mork[Power User]
I find it unlikely that the American Flag would be taken down, however adding more flags would not be unusual.
posted 24 weeks ago
I agree this might be difficult to settle. I think only the US flag will be flying on 7/4 because Abu Dhabi would not want the negative publicity inherent in doing otherwise.
posted 24 weeks ago
@ averageamerican

Aha! You've hit the nail on the head... It's got to be maddening to think that you (they) are prepared to spend hundred of millions to control this building, which can never actually leave US soil, but that they would be prohibitted, either actually or by convention, from putting their name (flag) on it. This is why I created the market, similar controversy has occured at other big prominent landmarks when new owners come on the scene.
posted 24 weeks ago

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