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MLB - End of play on 6/20/08 - Which team has the best win percentage?

Voided

inaccurate starting odds. Chicago's probability was too low


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Voided

Boston
14%
Chicago Cubs
21%
Chicago Sox
7%
LA Angels
15%
Philadelphia
13%
St. Louis
10%
Tampa Bay
10%
Tie
10%
Voided Sun 15th Jun 3:10am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 19th Jun 11:59pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: Boston: 14%, Chicago Cubs: 21%, Chicago Sox: 7%, LA Angels: 15%, Philadelphia: 13%, St. Louis: 10%, Tampa Bay: 10%, Tie: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 14th Jun 8:41am PDT by markov
Voided Sun 15th Jun 3:10am PDT by donal: inaccurate starting odds. Chicago's probability was too low

Suspend date: Thu 19th Jun 11:59pm PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (16)

16 predictions

24 weeks ago
slimysteve predicted LA Angels (H$100 at 37%)
24 weeks ago
slimysteve predicted Chicago Cubs (H$100 at 33%)
24 weeks ago
freedenboy predicted LA Angels (H$20 at 31%)
24 weeks ago
freedenboy predicted Boston (H$20 at 7%)
24 weeks ago
owlcreekobserver predicted Chicago Cubs (H$50 at 51%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 markov
A note to all who kindly wagered:

I have disputed the voiding of this question with the Hubdub authorities and await their reply. I analyzed these stats to the 10 degree before submitting the question and hope to have the question either reinstated or have more accurate odds (as defined by mathematically supported analysis) provided to me by the admin. Either way, I'll get this question back up in one form or another. Thanks for wagering.

Markov
posted 24 weeks ago
  2 markov
Two unanswered e-mails and 4 days later I am still waiting for admin who suspended this question to share with me what he thought the odds should have been so I can do a better job on the next one and resubmit. I am getting frustrated.
posted 24 weeks ago
@markov - try flagging the question, that usually gets a good response.
posted 24 weeks ago
  4 markov
Thanks jennieandboys. I'll give it a shot.
posted 24 weeks ago
  5 markov
After complaining about the voiding of this question and requesting that some sort of numbers be provided to me to justify it I was asked to submit my calculations (an unprecedented request). I promptly complied by forwarding an Excel spreadsheet with relevant data and now, a week later, have yet to receive a reply to my e-mail. I hesitate to submit any further sports questions until I have some measure of confidence they will not just be voided on a whim. Some of these questions take considerable time to evaluate to set the proper odds and it is quite frustrating to have your odds called into question, your submission voided without factual support, and have your calculations be recreated and submitted only to have them ignored for a week and counting. I does begin to beg the question: "Why waste my time?"
posted 22 weeks ago
  6 markov
Over 3 weeks now without response, despite question having been flagged for weeks and e-mails sent. Someone is asleep at the switch. I'm done with this one. Case closed.
posted 21 weeks ago

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