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Who will have the higher approval rating when the 111th Congress is sworn in?

Current forecast: President Bush (89% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is President Bush with a probability of 89% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The 111th Congress will be sworn in January 5th, 2009. Approval rating is, of course, for the current Congess.

This question will be settled based on the last posted presidential and congressional polls before inauguration.
 
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President Bush
89%
110th U.S. Congress
11%
Activity: H$30,622
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source or http://www.gallup.com/ if there is a discrepancy among major mainstream news sources.

Suspend date: Sun 4th Jan 2009 6:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: President Bush: 55%, 110th U.S. Congress: 45%

Action history:

Created Sun 15th Jun 2:29am PDT by Erik
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source or http://www.gallup.com/ if there is a discrepancy among major mainstream news sources.... read all

 

Predictions (68)

68 predictions

7 weeks ago
noozdude predicted President Bush (H$50 at 72%)
7 weeks ago
Erik predicted President Bush (H$1,000 at 69%)
7 weeks ago
mvr79 predicted 110th U.S. Congress (H$10 at 34%)
8 weeks ago
rogi predicted President Bush (H$50 at 67%)
8 weeks ago
groston predicted 110th U.S. Congress (H$20 at 43%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 Erik
Interesting...originally I was going to start this at 60-40. It's now set itself at 62-38. Nice how things take care of themselves.
posted 12 weeks ago
  2 tisha[Admin]
This question will be settled based on the last posted Presidential and Congressional polls before inauguration.
posted 8 weeks ago

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