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Will it be reported that any Afghan neighbors will "pile on" & invade Afghan. in July 08?

Settled as No

No reports of invasions.

Background:

Notoriously hard to attack, and harder to withdraw from, Afganistan is currently having difficulties in the area of Kandahar involving Taliban fighters. Often bordering countries will take the occasion of a distracted neighbor to wrestle control of disputes lands, attack or otherwise pester a neighbor when said neighbor (country) is deployed on another front.

This question is speculating on whether one of Afghanistan's many neighboring countries; Iran, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, China or Pakistan will send uninvited, uniformed, military personnel into Afganistan during the month of July.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
4%
No
96%
Activity: H$30,676
Settled as No on Fri 1st Aug 3:45pm PDT

Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 1st Aug 3:45pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Jul 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Tue 17th Jun 10:35am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Thu 31st Jul 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 31st Jul 10:28pm PDT by orlin: No reports of such event occured
Settlement requested Fri 1st Aug 6:40am PDT by orlin: There is no any 'pile on' or invasion in Afghanistan
Settled as 'No' Fri 1st Aug 3:45pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: No reports of invasions.

Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 1st Aug 3:45pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Jul 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (30)

30 predictions

18 weeks ago
enginej predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
18 weeks ago
fish predicted No (H$20 at 96%)
18 weeks ago
satish predicted Yes (H$50 at 4%)
18 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 95%)
20 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted No (H$40 at 88%)
more

Comments (1)

Great Q man :-D
posted 20 weeks ago

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