Created Tue 17th Jun 1:28pm PDT by 
valornhonor![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
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How many more states will get Fed. Disaster Area designation for flooding during 2008?
Current forecast: 26-35 states (84% chance
257%)
257%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 26-35 states with a probability of 84% (down 257% in last 1 day)
It's been a wet year, already almost a third, (15/50) of the United States have had portions of states that have been declared Federal Disaster Areas due to flooding for various reasons. Market is looking to predict how many TOTAL states will have had this designation within their state boundaries during 2008.
So far the affected states are:
Arkansas
Georgia
Hawaii
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kentucky
Maine
Mississippi
Missouri
Nebraska
Nevada
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Wisconsin
So far the affected states are:
Arkansas
Georgia
Hawaii
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kentucky
Maine
Mississippi
Missouri
Nebraska
Nevada
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Wisconsin
Settlement details:
As reported FEMA @ http://www.fema.gov/femaNews/disasterSearch.do
Make your prediction!
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15 |
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16-25 states |
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26-35 states |
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36-45 states |
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46-50 states |
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Activity: H$14,295
Question suspends in 3 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: 15: 3%, 16-25 states: 50%, 26-35 states: 35%, 36-45 states: 10%, 46-50 states: 2%
Action history:
Created Tue 17th Jun 1:28pm PDT by valornhonor
valornhonor
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (19)
19 predictions
divakaleigh
lcsnor
lizzielizzie
gingerboi
mrperfkt![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted 15 (H$100 at 3%)
jenniandboys
sdchargers
cognos
kruijsComments (1)
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