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Will an authorized bio. book deal about Pres. Bush be announced by Jan 20, 2010?

Current forecast: 49% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 49% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

There are many biographies of all of the Presidents; this market however is looking for a specific resolution. To settle for a YES the announced book deal will be an authorized biography of President George W Bush, with his consent and participation that includes his memoirs through the entirety of his presidency, including his final year in office. Will a book deal be announced that fits these parameters within the first 365 days of the new administration, i.e. Jan 20th, 2010?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
49%
No
51%
Activity: H$3,816
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Wed 20th Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 18th Jun 2008 7:58am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]

Suspend date: Wed 20th Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
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Predictions (16)

16 predictions

6 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$500 at 50%)
8 weeks ago
julesgarrett predicted Yes (H$50 at 51%)
22 weeks ago
lpolyak68 predicted No (H$100 at 49%)
23 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Yes (H$100 at 51%)
28 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted Yes (H$51 at 51%)
more

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