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Will the fundraiser America Votes collapse prior to the November election?

Settled as No

It's widely expected that this election season 527's and groups like them will play a large role in fermenting public opinion. But some groups like America Votes which rely on wealthy donors may not be able to sustain themselves.


The great success of Obama's fundraising may also hurt smaller fundraising groups by drawing away wealthy donors from them.


Some good background info is here: The Fix (Washington Post Politics Blog)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Collapse is taken to mean financial collapse, or if it's reported that America Votes is no longer in business.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
10%
No
90%
Activity: H$23,268
Settled as No on Tue 4th Nov 9:56pm PST

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:56pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Wed 18th Jun 2:23pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Tue 4th Nov 9:56pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:56pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (9)

9 predictions

4 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$7,000 at 88%)
4 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted No (H$10,000 at 82%)
4 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted No (H$3,000 at 76%)
14 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted No (H$1,000 at 73%)
24 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted No (H$1,641 at 71%)
more

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