loren
How long will the current Israel-Hamas truce last?
Truce lasted the full term but was not renewed.
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
| Truce will collapse by August 1, 2008. |
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| Truce will collapse by October 1, 2008 |
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| Truce will last the full six months. |
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| Truce will be extended beyond six months. |
|
Suspend date: Fri 19th Dec 2008 3am PST Settlement date: Sat 27th Dec 2008 8:09am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 19th Dec 2008 3am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Truce will collapse by August 1, 2008.: 25%, Truce will collapse by October 1, 2008: 30%, Truce will last the full six months.: 35%, Truce will be extended beyond six months.: 10%
Action history:
loren 
lesley
: Suspending to investigate settlement source 
drzinternet
: Shouldn't this question be settled? The "truce" lasted the full six months, and hasn't been extended. 
infernalmachine![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Truce lasted the full term but was not renewed.
Suspend date: Fri 19th Dec 2008 3am PST Settlement date: Sat 27th Dec 2008 8:09am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 19th Dec 2008 3am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (77)
77 predictions
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Truce will last the full six months. (H$10,000 at 94%)
keyeshoveden
predicted Truce will last the full six months. (H$1,000 at 85%)
aland
sdchargers
predicted Truce will be extended beyond six months. (H$100 at 31%)
happypuppypark
predicted Truce will be extended beyond six months. (H$20 at 30%)
onderdole
predicted Truce will last the full six months. (H$100 at 68%)
rbrog77
pita_soup
predicted Truce will be extended beyond six months. (H$100 at 60%)
horsefeathersComments (8)
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New in World » Middle East
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080624/ap_on_re_mi_ea/israel_palestinians... Rockets hit Israel, which says truce broken, have requested settlement review.
"Despite what it called a "gross violation" of the truce, Israel refrained from military action and said it would send an envoy soon to Egypt to work on the next stage of a broader cease-fire agreement: a prisoner swap that would bring home an Israeli soldier held by Hamas for more than two years.
Hamas, the militant Islamic group that rules Gaza, promised to rein in the Iran- and Syria-backed faction that carried out the rocket attacks and pledged to remain committed to the truce that went into effect June 19 and urged restraint by all sides."
I'll unsuspend the question.
Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
Indeed, a level of restraint seems to be playing out. Interesting though that the headline has changed on this article from when I intially read it yesterday. Thanks for your reply on this.
http://apnews.excite.com/article/20080626/D91HV0FGG.html
Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni said it should not matter who was behind the rocket attack.
"I am not interested in who fired and who didn't fire at Israel," she told reporters. "It is a violation, and Israel needs to respond immediately, militarily, for every violation."
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