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When will the next human foot be washed ashore in Canada?

Settled as None by end of September

No reports of another foot washing ashore have occurred

Background:

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Another foot washes up in June
0%
No more feet in June, but at least one in July
0%
No feet in June - July, but at least one in August
0%
No feet June - August, but at least one in Sept
0%
None by end of September
100%
Activity: H$50,634
Settled as None by end of September on Wed 1st Oct 1:19am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Tue 30th Sep 6:59am PDT

Settlement date: Wed 1st Oct 1:19am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 30th Sep 6:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Another foot washes up in June: 20%, No more feet in June, but at least one in July: 20%, No feet in June - July, but at least one in August: 20%, No feet June - August, but at least one in Sept: 20%, None by end of September: 20%

Action history:

Created Wed 18th Jun 4:47pm PDT by jchiang
Suspended Tue 30th Sep 6:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 30th Sep 11:45pm PDT by elly: There isn't report for next human foot in Canada.
Settled as 'None by end of September' Wed 1st Oct 1:19am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: No reports of another foot washing ashore have occurred
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (93)

93 predictions

1 week ago
shans990 predicted None by end of September (H$50 at 97%)
1 week ago
sjboudreau predicted None by end of September (H$100 at 97%)
1 week ago
greggles predicted None by end of September (H$1,000 at 97%)
2 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted None by end of September (H$20 at 96%)
2 weeks ago
johndulong predicted None by end of September (H$10 at 96%)
more

Comments (9)

  1 bcguelph
The stuff I find myself betting since I've been on Hubdub!
posted 16 weeks ago
  2 jchiang
lol.. Whodunnit?
posted 16 weeks ago
I flagged, but didn't suspend this question because the choices are not exclusive. If another foot washes ashore in June the question settles. Then if another foot washes ashore in July a storm erupts since the question does not specify. "No other foot washes ashore before one in July". I'm pretty sure that was jchiang's intent (correct me if I'm wrong). I have asked if the category editors can change the choices to be in-line with this interpretation of the question, but I'm not sure they are able to edit the choices.

It's an interesting question jchiang, don't be discouraged if it gets voided. If that happens please resubmit it with choices like:
- Another foot washes ashore in June
- No foot in June, but at least one in July
- No feet in June - July, but at least one in August
- No feet June - August, but at least one in September
- None by suspension date

Regards,
AAA
posted 16 weeks ago
  4 jchiang
Thanks AAA for the comment - you are correct
I hope they can change the choices, otherwise am happy to recreate

For the purpose of this question (if it continues to live) the next foot will be the 7th found, if it's found in June
posted 16 weeks ago
  5 lesley[Admin]
I've edited it for you jchiang, hope you're ok with it now.

Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
posted 16 weeks ago
Considers creating question, "How many feet will be found how many feet from shore?"
a) 1 foot found 1-3 feet from shore
b) 2 feet found 1-3 feet from shore

/consideration
posted 16 weeks ago
  7 jchiang
Thanks Lesley, and lol @ newswrangler
posted 16 weeks ago
Interestingly, last foot was a hoax: http://www.cnn.com/2008/CRIME/06/19/canada.feet/index.html?iref=mpstoryview (as if this story needed to get weirder...)
posted 16 weeks ago
  9 bayoubear[Admin]
OK...so does this bit of info affect any previously settled questions...???

Can this story get weirder...those who think so, raise your foot (if you have one)
posted 16 weeks ago

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