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Will an audience "wave" circulate @ least 1x around stadium @ Olympic Opening or Closing ceremony?

Voided

Fascinating or not, this will not be settleable

Background:

Will a spontaneous crowd wave, circulating at least once around the stadium occur during Opening or Closing ceremonies of the Olympics this summer?

I find it fascinating that China has gone to the trouble of creating/sanctioning an official four part cheer, virtually every other society celebrates their athletes in a spontaneous, exhuberant way, just look at the crowds at Eurocup 2008 for a contrast.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

Opening
15%
Closing
30%
Both
25%
Neither
30%
Voided Fri 20th Jun 5:55pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Opening: 15%, Closing: 30%, Both: 25%, Neither: 30%

Action history:

Created Thu 19th Jun 6:12am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Voided Fri 20th Jun 5:55pm PDT by donal: Fascinating or not, this will not be settleable

Suspend date: Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (12)

12 predictions

24 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted Neither (H$20 at 40%)
24 weeks ago
raidersin09 predicted Neither (H$100 at 40%)
24 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted Neither (H$100 at 38%)
24 weeks ago
swilson predicted Neither (H$100 at 37%)
24 weeks ago
canucksfan9 predicted Neither (H$20 at 36%)
more

Comments (2)

Donal & Ryan,

What do you guys think? Will the euphoria of the event induce a wave or will the climate of a carefully managed environment stifle such an "outburst"?
posted 24 weeks ago
  2 donal
I doubt it....I also doubt that this question is really settleable
posted 24 weeks ago

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