Will one or more of these large 3 motor home makers cease operations during 2008?

Here's an AP story from last week (at http://www.cnbc.com/id/26183030/for/cnbc ):

RV makers fall, survey shows motorhome sales down
updated 12:36 p.m. PT, Wed., Aug. 13, 2008

NEW YORK - Shares of recreational vehicle makers declined Wednesday after an Avondale Partners survey of 70 RV dealers showed motorhome sales plunged in June.

The 51.1 percent drop, compared with retail sales in the same month last year, is not unexpected considering the 23-month downturn in the RV market and a 54.4 percent decrease in wholesale shipments in June, the report said.

Winnebago Industries Inc. maintained the top position in motorhomes with 18.5 percent of the market share with Fleetwood Enterprises following closely behind at 16.1 percent.

But analyst Kathryn Thompson trimmed her estimate for Winnebago to 30 cents per share from 50 cents per share for the 2009 fiscal year, citing slowness in the motorhome industry. ... She noted that Pilgrim RV, which was the 15th largest towable manufacturer in the industry, went out of business last week.

PS: If homeowners need to raise cash to pay mortgages, or no longer feel like driving their motorhomes much, many used motorhomes will come onto the market. This may be happening already. If so, the decline in sales by RV dealers may tell only part of the story. If the mix of used vs. new vehicles sold is rising, then mfgr's. sales would be down more than 50%.

Here's a snippet from a current sidebar story, "No Vacation for Fleetwood":

On Thursday, August 28 pre-market, Fleetwood Enterprises Inc. (FLE) reported a loss of $0.42 ($0.41 cont. op) per share or $29.1 million vs. a loss of $0.04 per share or $2.3 million. $0.01 was due to discontinued operations. Revenue fell to $289.9 million from $488.3 million, down 41% vs. a year ago. Analysts expected a loss of $0.18 per share on $346.8 million in revenue, missing expectations more than double.

President and CEO Elden Smith stated: "Unfortunately, the rapid and accelerating decline of sales in the motor home industry during the first quarter caused heavy operating losses that were exacerbated by an aggressive discounting environment and downtime at our plants."

On August 20, Moody’s cut FLE’s rating to “junk” status. ... A year ago, FLE’s market cap was around $750 million, now it sits at 163 million, a testament to the power of the rise in oil prices as well as a tightening of financing available. Both units suffered severe losses, especially the RV unit, which is in the midst of the worst year of a four-year downtrend. A flooding of deeply discounted RV’s from now (and soon) out-of-business dealers should put tremendous pressure on FLE now and in the near future.

PS: Please note that "ceasing operations" doesn't imply going out of business permanently, just shutting down all motor home plants until demand revives.

I bailed out on this one because any of them could shut down their lines for the holidays or something. When I placed the wager, I assumed you meant that one of them would fold up its tent permanently, which I figured was pretty unlikely. No big deal.

I'm looking at this question as asking if one of these will go out of business and shut down totally, permanently. I'm asking the creator for more info about his intent and then I'll see about editing the question to clarify....