Created Sat 21st Jun 7:03pm PDT by bcguelph

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Will PM Harper debate Mr. Dion on the topic of climate before the end of 2008?

Current forecast: 4% chance 6%

Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 4% likely to happen (down 6% in last 1 day)

Settlement details: Debate must be televised.

Question refers to an actual televised debate, not television coverage of the house of commons regular, daily debates.

Debates which occur as a result of an election being called are excluded - this refers to a debate in which the topic of climate, the environment, or any such "green" topic is the subject matter. If another topic is added to the debate, the question is not voided.



As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Will PM Harper debate Mr. Dion on the topic of climate before the end of 2008?

    Yes

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	Yes	4%
	No	96%

Activity: H$21,566

Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 21st Jun 7:03pm PDT by bcguelph

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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
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Predictions (16)

16 predictions

4 weeks ago

storekeeperathscm predicted No (H$100 at 90%)

4 weeks ago

tpillon predicted No (H$88 at 90%)

5 weeks ago

horsefeathers predicted No (H$50 at 90%)

6 weeks ago

dr42 predicted No (H$125 at 90%)

8 weeks ago

bcguelph predicted No (H$20 at 90%)

more

4 weeks ago

storekeeperathscm predicted No (H$100 at 90%)

4 weeks ago

tpillon predicted No (H$88 at 90%)

5 weeks ago

horsefeathers predicted No (H$50 at 90%)

6 weeks ago

dr42 predicted No (H$125 at 90%)

8 weeks ago

bcguelph predicted No (H$20 at 90%)

13 weeks ago

hippyboomer predicted Yes (H$20 at 10%)

21 weeks ago

kasulked predicted Yes (H$20 at 10%)

21 weeks ago

valornhonor predicted Yes (H$5 at 10%)

21 weeks ago

mork predicted No (H$100 at 90%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (3)

  1 rpfreely

I would guess that the normal television debate they have during the general election would qualify if the environment comes up as an issue?

posted 11 weeks ago

  2 rpfreely

Er, nevermind.

posted 11 weeks ago

  3 ratel

you say election debates are exlcuded
but if the debate has other topics its is not voided. very constrained question

posted 10 weeks ago

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