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Will Viagra be considered a performance enhancing drug before Vancouver's 2010 Olympics?

Current forecast: 51% chance 1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 51% likely to happen (up 1% in last 1 day)

Athletes are turning to a new performance enhancing drug: Viagra. Traces of the drug, which is intended to alleviate sexual dysfunction, are increasingly appearing in the testing of samples from sports competitors.

It has become so widespread that the World Anti-Doping Agency (Wada) is considering whether to include Viagra in its list of substances banned in international sports.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/sport/more_sport/athletics/article4187778.ece


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. As determined by W.a.d.a. before the 2010 Opening ceremonies?

 
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Yes
51%
No
49%
Activity: H$5,400
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Mon 1st Feb 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 23rd Jun 7:28am PDT by mork[Power User]

Suspend date: Mon 1st Feb 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (46)

46 predictions

4 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted No (H$100 at 49%)
10 weeks ago
stevem predicted Yes (H$100 at 51%)
10 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted No (H$250 at 49%)
12 weeks ago
pshk predicted No (H$20 at 49%)
16 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted No (H$20 at 49%)
more

Comments (8)

  1 cognos[Power User]
Viagra is considered to be a 'performance' enhancing drug, now. It just depends on the sport in question.
posted 21 weeks ago
  2 mork[Power User]
I look forward to watching an athlete found having it their system trying to publicly justifying it.
posted 21 weeks ago
  3 kennyk
This seems like it will be an easy one to test for!
And cognos is right - the drug was made to enhance "performance", although for olympic applications it seems like it would be more of a hinderance!
posted 21 weeks ago
Viagra® [et al] IS a vasodilator and, although it was never intended to improve physical performance in anything except indoors close-contact sports, it will improve the ability of the lungs to perfuse by increasing the relative size of the vasculature. It’s currently in use in neonatal/premature births to allow tiny lungs to perform/perfuse better.
posted 21 weeks ago
  5 frank2877
LOL! Only in the pole vault!
posted 21 weeks ago
Hilarious question, LOL ... I'd hate to see an athlete who "overdoses," on his recommended "safe" dosage, LOL :-P

@constable1664, GREAT insight man, I've smacked down a few hundred on YES, cause of your comments! I totally think it'll happen, but very soon actually!
posted 21 weeks ago
lucidstates - pleeeese don't pin your hopes on my comments!

The counter-question is: if they are prescribed for legitimate purposes to a 20 year old, Olympian, non-smoker, athlete, with erectile dysfunction who only wants to succeed in the “personal javelin” event, can he be banned from participation?

And the philosophical question: is an Olympic Gold Medal more meaningful than success in the “mattress toss”? I suspect the older guys on the Olympic Committee will have a crisis of conscience banning a drug they themselves use.

I actually bet NO based on input from the Bob Dole Institute for Firmness in International Relations.
posted 21 weeks ago
Good question, and a great counter-question posed by Constable.

So, is it possible for them to only partially ban a substance? How will they draw the line between physician-approved usage and performance enhancing usage? Should be interesting to see how this one pans out, but my money's on yes.
posted 19 weeks ago

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