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Will Angelina's twins be born on a patriotic holiday (July 14th, July 4th)?
Knox and Vivenne born on Saturday night (July 12)
Background:
Of course, there's always the chance that the twins will come whenever the heck they want and ignore any plans Angelina and Brad might have for a birthday party.
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/thedishrag/2008/06/the-buzz-at-the.html
Note there is some overlap with the previous Angelina/twin market, but this teases out the July options more since it appears the twins will likely be quite early.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Twins are born prior to July 4 |
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Twins are born on July 4 |
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Twins are born between July 4 and July 14 |
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Twins are born on July 14 |
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Twins are born after July 14 |
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Suspend date: Fri 11th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 1:31am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 11th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Twins are born prior to July 4: 10%, Twins are born on July 4: 20%, Twins are born between July 4 and July 14: 10%, Twins are born on July 14: 20%, Twins are born after July 14: 40%
Action history:
jenniandboys 
ryanj: Market edited to make question clearer, that only July 4th and 14th are the holidays referenced 
kiwifire: Bhttp://www.smh.com.au/news/people/angelina-jolie-gives-birth-to-a-boy-and-a-girl/2008/07/13/1215887422182.htmlorn yesterday 
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
:
"Main stream" news sources are now reporting that Angelina has given birth.
I do NOT believe these reports are accurate -- however, I wanted to "record" them pro-actively in the event other users begin submitting settlement requests.
In my view, there needs to be more definitive (source) reporting and confirmation.
<http://www.myfoxny.com/myfox/pages/Entertainment/Detail?contentId=6970568&version=2&locale=EN-US&layoutCode=TSTY&pageId=7.1.1>
tisha: Knox and Vivenne born on Saturday night (July 12)
Suspend date: Fri 11th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 1:31am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 11th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
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jenniandboys
266 settled, 17 voided
http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0907876.html
Are we speaking of US holidays?
Angelina Jolie in French Hospital for Birth of Twins
Bauer said the 33-year-old actress will almost certainly remain in the hospital until she gives birth. She said Jolie was admitted so she could be kept under normal surveillance -- and is not expected to give birth immediately.
I'm taking the long shot ang going for the 4th of July!
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/thedishrag/2008/07/angelina-jolies.html
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