What will be the result of Monday's Gallup Presidential Poll?

Suspend date: Mon 30th Jun 9:55am PDT Settlement date: Tue 1st Jul 9:33am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 30th Jun 9:55am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Obama leads by 9 points or more: 5%, Obama leads by 6,7 or 8 points: 20%, Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points: 35%, Statistical Tie +/- 2 points: 25%, McCain leads by 3,4 or 5 points: 5%, McCain leads by 6,7 or 8 points: 5%, McCain leads by 9 points or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 23rd Jun 11:26am PDT by jenniandboys

Suspended Mon 30th Jun 9:55am PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Mon 30th Jun 10:34am PDT by destry: http://www.gallup.com/poll/108421/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Leads-McCain-47-42.aspx

Settlement requested Tue 1st Jul 5:48am PDT by jenniandboys: please settle as Obama +5

Settled as 'Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points' Tue 1st Jul 9:33am PDT by ryanj: http://www.gallup.com/

Suspend date: Mon 30th Jun 9:55am PDT Settlement date: Tue 1st Jul 9:33am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 30th Jun 9:55am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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