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Which Network will be next to use one of "the seven words you can't say on television"?

Current forecast: FOX (39% chance1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is FOX with a probability of 39% (down 1% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
A link to video footage proven to be made after June 22,'08 will settle this question.

This should be settled with video:
- of a show which is broadcast daily (Minimum Monday-Thursday)
- not including re-runs or sitcoms
- YouTube or GoogleVideo link

e.g.:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KkNOQ8D6SQY&;feature=related
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajcY_MJHLng&NR=1
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yY7xAF4XKS4&;feature=related
http://youtube.com/watch?v=pLGrpo1KdEk
http://youtube.com/watch?v=pLGrpo1KdEk
http://youtube.com/watch?v=GwT70CKvp20&;feature=related
http://youtube.com/watch?v=p44VKdrCCfA

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

CBS
23%
NBC
21%
ABC
17%
FOX
39%
Activity: H$5,578
Question suspends in 28 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 23rd Jun 2009 12:59am PDT (28 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: CBS: 25%, NBC: 25%, ABC: 25%, FOX: 25%

Action history:

Created Mon 23rd Jun 2:43pm PDT by mork[Power User]
Clarified Mon 23rd Jun 6:36pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Mork's subsequent clarifications in the comments seem to fit the market, therefore I'll allow it
Suspended Tue 24th Jun 12:53pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Tue 24th Jun 1:03pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: Since when does "bleeping" a word constitute "use"?
Unsuspended Wed 25th Jun 8:14am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Bleeped words will not count
Suspended Thu 18th Sep 8:37pm PDT by mork[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Thu 18th Sep 8:37pm PDT by mork[Power User]: http://www.buzzfeed.com/peggy/sarah-palins-tits-on-fox-news (market suspended)
Unsuspended Sun 21st Sep 3:32am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Linked to source was from Fox News not Fox TV station
Suspended Sun 2nd Nov 4:15pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Sun 2nd Nov 4:15pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Suspending pending settlement source (market suspended)
Settlement requested Mon 3rd Nov 9:15am PST by paulcroft: NOT a video, but it does talk about the clip being aired:

http://community.nascar.com/blogs/55595
Unsuspended Tue 4th Nov 1:17pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Does not meet settlement requirement

Suspend date: Tue 23rd Jun 2009 12:59am PDT (28 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (56)

56 predictions

3 weeks ago
youbet predicted FOX (H$100 at 38%)
3 weeks ago
rslnerd predicted CBS (H$50 at 24%)
8 weeks ago
andreashansson predicted FOX (H$50 at 34%)
8 weeks ago
pryd predicted FOX (H$20 at 33%)
12 weeks ago
bobyn42 predicted NBC (H$100 at 27%)
more

Comments (12)

  1 mork[Power User]
This should be settled with video:
- of a show which is broadcast daily (Minimum Monday-Thursday)
- not including re-runs or sitcoms
- YouTube or GoogleVideo link

Sporting events count but must be spoken into the mike.

e.g.:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KkNOQ8D6SQY&;feature=related
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajcY_MJHLng&NR=1
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yY7xAF4XKS4&;feature=related
http://youtube.com/watch?v=pLGrpo1KdEk
http://youtube.com/watch?v=pLGrpo1KdEk
http://youtube.com/watch?v=GwT70CKvp20&;feature=related
http://youtube.com/watch?v=p44VKdrCCfA
posted 23 weeks ago
What a bummer! I had missed this "news", and it certainly makes the world a poorer place. Two of the idols of my youth, dead within a few months. Arthur C. Clarke who taught me to look towards the future with hope, wonder, and some trepidation ("Hal, open the pod bay doors.", "I'm sorry Dave, I can't do that"). And George Carlin who taught me there is no subject to which humor can't be applied, in spite of societal mores ("I used to ask my priest, 'Is God so all-powerful that he can create a rock so heavy that he cannot lift it?'")

Long live the ideas of two radically different radicals. The dichotomy of their views in no way invalidates those ideas ... their is often truth, on both sides of, convergent ideas.

Philosophically yours,
AAA (a saddened AAA)
posted 23 weeks ago
  3 cognos[Power User]
George Carlin was the very first comedian that made both me and my grandfather would roll over laughing together.
posted 23 weeks ago
He mocked Christ....... I doubt he's laughing now!
posted 23 weeks ago
  5 ryanj[Admin]
Market unsuspended
posted 23 weeks ago
  7 paulcroft
Just heard the word "Shit" during the NASCAR broadcast on ABC. It was during a playback of audio between Chad Knaus (crew chief) and Jimmy Johnson (driver). The driver was told to leave the pits with a "Go, go, go, watchout, shit, sorry about that man" (as a car came out and almost hit him). ABC apologized for the "audio" and that was the only comment made. I don't have video of it though. :(
posted 4 weeks ago
  8 paulcroft
Here is a blog link to the discussion surrounding the "bad language" that was heard during the broadcast. The "word" is not mentioned, but the incident is:

http://community.nascar.com/blogs/55595
posted 4 weeks ago
  9 paulcroft
This needs to unsuspend:

The settlement details say:

This should be settled with video:
- of a show which is broadcast daily (Minimum Monday-Thursday)

Since the use of the language occurred on a sports broadcast on a Sunday, it does not fit the criteria for settlement as listed in the details.
posted 4 weeks ago
Hey good point! I missed that.
posted 4 weeks ago
  11 paulcroft
Yeah Ryan pointed it out to me and I expected the question to unsuspend then ...so I just sent the gentle reminder along. ;) I am glad because I have my money on FOX! LOL
posted 4 weeks ago

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