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Will the US open an "Interest Section" in Iran before January 1st 2009?

Current forecast: 39% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 39% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

The idea of opening an "Interest Section" or de facto embassy is being floated by the State Department.
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,370525,00.html
 
% chance over time
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Yes
39%
No
61%
Activity: H$5,182
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Market relates to an "Interest Section" or diplomatic outpost in Iran. The interest section would be comparable to the one currently operating in Cuba

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 7:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Mon 23rd Jun 5:39pm PDT by skipper[Power User]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. ... read all

 

Predictions

24 predictions

1 day ago
raidersin09 predicted No (H$50 at 61%)
4 weeks ago
nazrock predicted No (H$100 at 61%)
9 weeks ago
lucidstates predicted No (H$100 at 61%)
9 weeks ago
frank2877 predicted No (H$100 at 61%)
9 weeks ago
skipper[Power User] predicted Yes (H$500 at 38%)
more

Comments

interesting question!
posted 9 weeks ago
  2 skipper[Power User]
thx
posted 9 weeks ago
  3 frank2877
Iran is getting nervous. They want some hostages to prevent a strike by the U.S. or Israel on their nuclear production facilities.
posted 9 weeks ago
heehee... it looks like Bush & Ahmadinejad are singing a duet in the photo
posted 9 weeks ago
LOL they totally are man ! HAHAHAHA
posted 9 weeks ago

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