valornhonor![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
Explanation be released from Israeli policeman who took his own life @ Sarkozy farewell?
Investigation still on-going, and no explanations delivered by July 29, so settling as "Other"
Background:
Perhaps this was to make a statement about President Sarkozy's comments about the partitioning of Jerusalem this week.
This market will settle for a YES only if a written or video explanation is released to the media that explains this policeman's motive for apparently taking his own life.
This market will settle for a NO if any of the following are true:
No explanation if officially given.
It is reported by Israeli authorities that it is unknown why this policeman took his own life.
It was determined to have been a trafic accident.
It is reported that the gunshot was not self inflicted, or that the incident is still under investigation by the date of settlement.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Written explanation released |
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Video explanation released |
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Audio explanation released |
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Any combination of previous methods released |
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Any other outcome |
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Suspend date: Fri 25th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 1st Aug 3:38pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 25th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Written explanation released: 10%, Video explanation released: 10%, Audio explanation released: 10%, Any combination of previous methods released: 10%, Any other outcome: 60%
Action history:
valornhonor 
bcguelph: I realize that the suspension date is still three weeks away, but if no one has offered an explanation before now...
I'd ask that this be settles as "other".
bcguelph: I think it is safe to say that this question can be settled as other - none of the given explanations have been written about. 
infernalmachine![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Still being investigated July 29
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1215331128686&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
infernalmachine: Investigation still on-going, and no explanations delivered by July 29, so settling as "Other"
Suspend date: Fri 25th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 1st Aug 3:38pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 25th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (30)
30 predictions
gadget666
onedave
kiwifire
lesley
pepe
jenniandboys
lucidstatesComments (6)
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valornhonor
162 settled, 114 voided
You've correctly anticipated what I was inferring, namely that SOMEONE or SOME group will want to explain this event, but for purposes of this market I'm looking for an explanation directly from the soldier or his family about why this happened, yes, something akin to a suicide note, or an explanation in a journal or diary about how distraught he was, something like that.
Mr Ghanan, 32, of the northern Druze village of Beit Jan, could not have killed himself said a family member to the local press.
"We scornfully reject the claims that our son took his own life. He was a kindhearted and happy person. He had a family and there was no reason for him to do such a horrible thing."
The officer's father, Asaad Ghanan, said he had last seen his son in good spirits. "He had a family, he had friends, he had plans for the future and had no reason to commit suicide.”
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/middle_east/article4209639.ece
I just found this while trying to make a similar one.
This ones better.
Lesley.
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