Will a video or tape of Cindy McCain saying 'blackey' turn up before the election?
Voided
The prior market regarding "whitey" had linked reports, and was important enough to warrant the Obama campaign saying no video existed on there fight the smears website. If you can find reports regarding this market then I'd be fine with it reposting
Background:>
There seems to be as much evidence that this proposition is true as there is about an analogous proposition regarding the wife of the presumptive Democratic nominee. It appears that Hubdub finds such questions acceptable, even if some might interpret them as types of smears. So, let's start the odds where Hubdub suggests for the analogous proposition, at 5 percent for the answer 'yes.'
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Will a video or tape of Cindy McCain saying 'blackey' turn up before the election?
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Forecast history, %
Voided
Voided Wed 25th Jun 8:43am PDT
Suspend date: Mon 24th Nov 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 5%
Action history:
Created Tue 24th Jun 7:20pm PDT by
corky
Suspended Wed 25th Jun 5:34am PDT by
jenniandboys![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
:
Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Wed 25th Jun 5:34am PDT by
jenniandboys![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
:
There are no rumors of such a tape existing and Cindy has a black daughter: makes initial odds out of line. (market suspended)
Voided Wed 25th Jun 8:43am PDT by
ryanj![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
:
The prior market regarding "whitey" had linked reports, and was important enough to warrant the Obama campaign saying no video existed on there fight the smears website. If you can find reports regarding this market then I'd be fine with it reposting
Predictions (3)
3 predictions
No public predictions yet
Comments (5)
There have been a number of anti-Barack markets posted (birth certificate, 57 states, whitey-tape, dead people, etc) that were either propagating right wing blog rumors or just making fun of his gaffes. There have not been, that I recall, any anti-McCain markets. That does not imply that hubdub is anti-Barack or pro-McCain. In fact if you take a look at most of the non-partisan questions about the election (Who will be President, Who will get most popular vote, Electoral vote margin) Barack seems to be in the lead here. Perhaps our anti-McCain members are quieter here or perhaps they display their partisanship in different ways. I don't really know.
I do know however, that at least tenuously, each and every one of those markets were tied to a news story. The whitey tape rumor spread enough that Barack debunked it on his own website www.fightthesmears.com... its still a smear, but the issue has reached a certain level of newsworthiness.
I am not aware of any rumors surrounding Cindy McCain saying something racist. If you have any sources to link to this story, I see no problem with it. But although the concept of equal smearing sounds democratic, it just doesn't make sense here. (She also has a black daughter, so the racism angle just doesn't seem to hold a lot of water)
I wish we could have this conversation across a table so that tone and facial expression and hand waving can be thrown in... I hope you are comforted and not frustrated by my response. (I am suspending market for the reason stated above)
Anti-Obama:
http://www.hubdub.com/m8140/Will_Barack_Hussein_Obama_See_Dead_People_During_June_2008
http://www.hubdub.com/m8143/If_Elected_President_Will_Barack_Hussein_Obama_Send_Arabic_Translators_to_Afghanistan
http://www.hubdub.com/m8187/Will_SNL_Spoof_BHOs_Arabic_Translators_Afghanistan_Gaffe_before_July
anti-Bush/Cheney:
http://www.hubdub.com/m8248/08_ElectionWill_BushCheney_RunSteal_Pres_Election_or_Occupy_Whitehouse_after_12009
My anti-John McCain F bomb question survived due to numerous news reports and videos concerning his foul language.
As for evidence of Michelle's alleged racism, I think you need to look no further than to their spiritual adviser. The vociferous Rev. Jeremiah Wright is known for voicing his displeasure with our society and has frequently gone off on racist rants during his weekly services. The Obama's belonged to this church for 20 years (20 Y E A R S)
One of the characteristics of human behavior is the tendency of people to stay near other people with similar beliefs. Apples do not fall far from the tree, so to speak. Or as Obama once said - "So it’s not surprising then that they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren’t like them. . . "
In my life, I have seen our country grow from segregated schools in the 60's to having a Presidential candidate of color now. There is nothing better for our society as a whole, than to see the further integration of diverse cultures become commonplace. But perhaps I am just ranting like a "typical white person", as referenced by Barack Obama.
Results 1 - 10 of about 2,000,000 for Obama - typical white person.
http://www.google.com/search?q=Obama+-+typical+white+person&ie=UTF-8
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