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As well as being a fun place for people to make their own predictions, Hubdub also provides real value to anyone looking for numerical forecasts of the way a news story will turn out.

At its core, Hubdub is a prediction market, which means the probabilities given for any of the hundreds of news stories we track are a combination of the thousands of pieces of information brought to bear on each question by our users. While Hubdub is still a young service building a track record of the accuracy of its forecasts, similar prediction markets (both play and real money) have found a very strong relationship between the forecast chances and reality.

When quoting one of our forecasts, the correct terminology is to describe the percentage as a "percent chance" or "probability", not what a percentage of our users think, as this is not what is measured. For example, "Hubdub is forecasting that Obama has a 67% chance of getting the nomination" is correct, whereas "67% of Hubdub users forecast that Obama will win the nomination" is incorrect. If in doubt please contact us

Press Contacts:
  • FutureWorks, Inc.
  • Miiko Mentz
  • +1-408-858-7216
  • miiko@future-works.com

Latest press coverage

guardian logoElevator Pitch: Hubdub says it can predict the news

It's news, but not as we know it. Edinburgh-based Hubdub is trying to create a whole different kind of site by predicting how major news stories will turn out....
http://blogs.guardian.co.uk

techconfidential logoEvery Demo 08 startup ranked from 1 to 72

Palm Desert, Calif.--This year's crop of startups presenting their wares at Demo was stronger than last year...
www.techconfidential.com

mashable logoHubdub: If Digg Were a Stock Market

...is another wisdom of the crowds tool, launching today at DEMO, that takes somewhat of a social bookmarking approach to the presentation of smaller markets...
www.mashable.com

zdnet logoHubdub weds prediction markets to news

Hubdub is introducing a fresh take on news that leverages the wisdom of crowd, turning news into fodder for prediction markets...
www.zdnet.com

pcworld logoDEMO: Presenters Bet on Predictive Capabilities

The uncertain prediction market will get a new player this week when Hubdub introduces a combination news aggregation and predictive platform...
www.pcworld.com

abcnews logoNew Site Has Users Wager on News Stories

New Community Site, Hubdub, Allows Users to Bet Play Money on Outcomes of News Stories...
www.abcnews.com

wired logoNew Site Has Users Wager on News Stories

Nigel Eccles, a news junkie and former online betting site employee, wanted to try pursuing both interests at once...
www.wired.com

techcrunch logoHubDub creates ‘fantasy league’ for news

Hubdub is a startup news forecaster that allows users to track news stories, predict their outcomes and compete with other news junkies...
www.techcrunch.com

techweb logoTechWeb: The Business Technology Network

Hubdub was hand-picked among hundreds of companies aspiring to launch their new products and services at DEMO 08, which takes place in Palm Desert, CA, ...
www.techweb.com

infoworld logoDemo presenters bet on predictive capabilities

The Hubdub platform creates a market around news events, such as how big will the final tax rebate be once it is signed into law by President Bush...
www.infoworld.com

sunherald logo77 New Technologies to Launch at DEMO 08

... CA; www.greenplug.com HealthPricer Interactive, Ltd.; Vancouver, BC; www.healthpricer.com Hubdub, Ltd.; Edinburgh, Scotland; www.hubdub.com Huddle.net; ...
www.sunherald.com

afp logo'Hubdub' website: virtual betting on news

People convinced they know whether a rogue trader will be convicted or if pop star Britney Spears will remarry can now put "Hubdub dollars" where their mouths are, in a new online betting game...
www.afp.google.com

somewhatfrank logoHubdub Launching Predictive News Aggregator

Hubdub, a UK-based startup, is launching at DEMO08 to put a new spin on the traditional news aggregator landscape...
www.somewhatfrank.com

Logos and screenshots

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For screenshots, logos (as .pdf and .eps files), and close-ups of markets please download the Hubdub zip file.

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