US Foreign Affairs
Recent predictions
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17 predictors (365 days)
When will Bin Laden be captured/killed?
Current forecast: 2010 or later (93% chance
34%)14 predictors (365 days)
Will the United States get involved in a war with Russia by 2010?
Current forecast: 13% chance
30%8 predictors (365 days)
Will any Bush admistration cabinet member be arrested on war crimes charges before 2010?
Current forecast: 7% chance
2%5 predictors (365 days)
When will the US pull out of Iraq?
Current forecast: 2011 or later (74% chance
30%)4 predictors (365 days)
Will the US get involved in a war with either Cuba or Venezuela before the end of 2010?
Current forecast: 13% chance
1%
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