Banks
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17 predictors (7 days)
What US state will have the most bank failures in November 2009?
Current forecast: Other state, other outcome, no banks fail, etc. (37% chance
21%)2 predictors (7 days)
Will More than 75 US banks fail in 2009?
Current forecast: Over 125 (99% chance
1%)1 predictor (7 days)
will the US gov't realize a profit from the $700B TARP fund by June 1, 2010?
Current forecast: 37% chance
1 predictor (7 days)
Will more than 175 US banks fail in 2009?
Current forecast: 125 through 175 banks fail (91% chance
)0 predictors (7 days)
What will be the full yearly loss for Lloyds Banking Group for 2009-2010
Current forecast: Loss of between £8 Billion and £10 Billion (19% chance
)0 predictors (7 days)
Will George Osbourne’s suggestion that retail bank cash bonuses be capped become law?
Current forecast: 46% chance
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