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image representing barack obama Barack Obama

 

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Recent predictions

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2 predictors (7 days)

Which candidate will win the Republican nomination in the 2012 election?

Current forecast: Tim Pawlenty (40% chance1%)
1 predictor (7 days)

Will Osama Bin Laden be 'found' in 2009?

Current forecast: 9% chance
1 predictor (7 days)
jsevigny

Will Barack Obama grant a general amnesty for undocumented immigrants in 2009?

Current forecast: 10% chance 7%
1 predictor (7 days)
curios

Will Obama's administration set up a government run bank ?

Current forecast: 11% chance 8%
1 predictor (7 days)

How many people will Obama replace on the Supreme Court?

Current forecast: Four (46% chance1%)
1 predictor (7 days)

How many of Barack Obama's Campaign Promises will have been kept by 2010?

Current forecast: 51-70 (32% chance1%)
1 predictor (7 days)

Will the economic green shoots theory be debunked in 2009?

Current forecast: 42% chance 4%
1 predictor (7 days)

How much will the house next to the Obama's in Chicago sell for?

Current forecast: Doesn't sell by settlement date (88% chance)