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Economy

 

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Recent predictions

1 7 30 365
day(s)
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17 predictors (7 days)

How many days will the stock market (DJIA) close over 10,000 points in 2009?

Current forecast: 60-79 days (45% chance39%)
7 predictors (7 days)

What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2009?

Current forecast: 10.1% (24% chance5%)
5 predictors (7 days)

How many days will the stock market (DJIA) close over 10,000 in 2010?

Current forecast: 100+ (74% chance8%)
4 predictors (7 days)

How many US banks will fail in November 2009?

Current forecast: 11 to 17 banks fail (59% chance40%)
2 predictors (7 days)

What will the US Unemployment Rate be in December 2009?

Current forecast: 10.1% to 12.0% (91% chance1%)
1 predictor (7 days)

NOT replacing Geithner better for Economy?

Current forecast: 7% chance 5%
1 predictor (7 days)

When will the UK interest rate change from 0.5%?

Current forecast: Feburary or later (68% chance8%)
1 predictor (7 days)

Gallup Daily: Economic outlook. When will more Americans say "getting better" than "getting worse"?

Current forecast: April 1 to June 30, 2010 (19% chance1%)
1 predictor (7 days)

Replacing Geithner to help Economy?

Current forecast: 9% chance 6%
1 predictor (7 days)

How high will gold prices move in 2009?

Current forecast: greater than $1000 and less than or equal to $1500 (98% chance4%)
1 predictor (7 days)
ben1

In 2009, will a bank larger than Wachovia (the largest bank failure to date) fail in the United Stat

Current forecast: No, no banks larger than Wachovia near collapse (98% chance18%)
0 predictors (7 days)

Will Russia default in 2009?

Current forecast: 13% chance
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