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24 predictors (7 days)
Will U.S. holiday retail sales fall by 1 percent or less this year?
Current forecast: 18% chance
25%10 predictors (7 days)
Where will Crude Oil end up DEC. 31st 2008?
Current forecast: Below $75 (86% chance
2%)9 predictors (7 days)
When will British house prices rise again?
Current forecast: Second quarter, 2009 (27% chance
9%)5 predictors (7 days)
What will the US Unemployment Rate be in December 2009?
Current forecast: 7.1% to 7.5% (43% chance
24%)4 predictors (7 days)
Will there be a quadruple point (1000+) swing on the DJIA in 2008?
Current forecast: 20% chance
3 predictors (7 days)
Will heating oil rise to $5.00 per gallon this fall?
Current forecast: 6% chance
4%3 predictors (7 days)
Will the US Government impose price controls on the cost of gasoline in 2008?
Current forecast: 9% chance
2%3 predictors (7 days)
What will a barrel of oil cost, in US Dollars, at the end of 2008?
Current forecast: Less than $100 (95% chance
61%)3 predictors (7 days)
Will the National Bureau of Economic Research announce in 2008 that the U.S. is in recession?
Current forecast: 90% chance
5%








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