Election
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39 predictors (365 days)
Will Hillary Clinton resign/get fired from her Sec. of State post during Obama's first term?
Current forecast: No, she will keep her post (66% chance
66%)33 predictors (365 days)
Will Alaska hold a special US Senate election in 2009?
Current forecast: 6% chance
6%29 predictors (365 days)
Will former MP Tony Benn become a MP again before the end of 2010
Current forecast: 34% chance
34%28 predictors (365 days)
Will Hillary Clinton and/or Sarah Palin run for president in 2012?
Current forecast: Neither will run in 2012 (69% chance
69%)27 predictors (365 days)
Will John McCain R-AZ loose the primary election to Chris Simcox (Minuteman Project co-founder)
Current forecast: No by substantial margin greater then 5% (48% chance
48%)16 predictors (365 days)
Will Australia have a double dissolution before the next election?
Current forecast: No double dissolution (67% chance
67%)14 predictors (365 days)
curios
AS the Australian Libs are in disarray WIIL-Rudd call an early election?
Current forecast: 40% chance
40%13 predictors (365 days)
Will there be a hung parliment after the next UK general election?
Current forecast: 36% chance
36%12 predictors (365 days)
Will there be a general election held in Ireland at any time during 2009?
Current forecast: 17% chance
17%11 predictors (365 days)
Who will win the Republican Primary for Texas Governor?
Current forecast: Rick Perry (R - incumbent) (50% chance
50%)10 predictors (365 days)
gabrielwest
Will Sarah Palin run for President in 2016?
Current forecast: 28% chance
4%8 predictors (365 days)
Ted Kennedy Senate replacement election race : Will it be close?
Current forecast: 15% to less than 20% (27% chance
27%)8 predictors (365 days)
Number of By-elections held for House of Commons of the UK before the next General election?
Current forecast: Two (59% chance
37%)8 predictors (365 days)
When will the next Canadian Federal Election be held?
Current forecast: After Dec 2010 (33% chance
33%)


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