Facebook
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3 predictors (30 days)
Will Facebook introduce in-stream advertising before April 28, 2010?
Current forecast: 54% chance
3 predictors (30 days)
Facebook will file for Bankruptcy or Chapter 11 in 2009
Current forecast: 4% chance
8%2 predictors (30 days)
Will Facebook claim 'worldwide ownership in perpetuity' of user created content in 2009?
Current forecast: 24% chance
2 predictors (30 days)
Will Facebook IPO/Exit At A Valuation Greater Than $15bn
Current forecast: 56% chance
1%1 predictor (30 days)
Will Accel use its new $480 million Accel Growth Fund to invest in Facebook by the end of 2009?
Current forecast: 45% chance
5%1 predictor (30 days)
Who will launch a payment platform first: Facebook or MySpace?
Current forecast: Facebook (89% chance
)0 predictors (30 days)
Will Hub Dub become MORE Popular in 2009 than Facebook/MySpace.
Current forecast: 4% chance
0 predictors (30 days)
When will Facebook layoff staff and/or freeze hiring?
Current forecast: Q1 2009 (Jan to Mar) (24% chance
3%)0 predictors (30 days)
Will the NCAA create a new law regarding Facebook at its next regular meeting?
Current forecast: 47% chance
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