Financial Crisis
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4 predictors (7 days)
What US state will have the most bank failures in November 2009?
Current forecast: Other state, other outcome, no banks fail, etc. (29% chance
4%)3 predictors (7 days)
When will the Bank of England announce the UK recession has ended or is ended?
Current forecast: September 2009 - December 2009 (49% chance
34%)3 predictors (7 days)
Will the FHA require a bail out from taxpayers before 2011?
Current forecast: 38% chance
4%2 predictors (7 days)
What will the US Unemployment Rate be in December 2009?
Current forecast: 10.1% to 12.0% (91% chance
1%)1 predictor (7 days)
Will any American financial executives be charged with causing the worldwide financial crisis?
Current forecast: 46% chance
0 predictors (7 days)
will the US gov't realize a profit from the $700B TARP fund by June 1, 2010?
Current forecast: 37% chance
0 predictors (7 days)
Will Brandeis University actually sell the Rose Art Museum collection in 2009?
Current forecast: 5% chance
0 predictors (7 days)
Will Starbucks file for Chapter 11 protection by Dec 31, 2009?
Current forecast: 9% chance
0 predictors (7 days)
Will UAL Corp (UAUA) merge or be acquired by another company before December 31, 2009?
Current forecast: No (75% chance
)0 predictors (7 days)
Will it be reported that the Hugo Chavez Government in Venezuela is bankrupt before 2010?
Current forecast: Venezuelan government bankruptcy not reported (92% chance
)0 predictors (7 days)
How many Fortune 500 CEO's will be interviewed by Michael Moore for his next film about Wall Street?
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