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Financial Crisis

 

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Recent predictions

1 7 30 365
day(s)
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4 predictors (7 days)

What US state will have the most bank failures in November 2009?

Current forecast: Other state, other outcome, no banks fail, etc. (29% chance4%)
3 predictors (7 days)

When will the Bank of England announce the UK recession has ended or is ended?

Current forecast: September 2009 - December 2009 (49% chance34%)
3 predictors (7 days)

Will the FHA require a bail out from taxpayers before 2011?

Current forecast: 38% chance 4%
2 predictors (7 days)

What will the US Unemployment Rate be in December 2009?

Current forecast: 10.1% to 12.0% (91% chance1%)
1 predictor (7 days)

Will Goldman Sachs Declare Bankruptcy in 2009?

Current forecast: 6% chance 1%
0 predictors (7 days)

NOT replacing Geithner better for Economy?

Current forecast: 12% chance
0 predictors (7 days)

Replacing Geithner to help Economy?

Current forecast: 15% chance
0 predictors (7 days)

Will the S&P 500 close below 575 during 2009?

Current forecast: 1% chance
0 predictors (7 days)

Will it be reported that the Hugo Chavez Government in Venezuela is bankrupt before 2010?

Current forecast: Venezuelan government bankruptcy not reported (92% chance)
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