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Recent predictions

1 7 30 365
day(s)
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43 predictors (365 days)

What will the US Unemployment Rate be in December 2009?

Current forecast: 10.1% to 12.0% (91% chance89%)
29 predictors (365 days)

What US state will have the most bank failures in November 2009?

Current forecast: Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, or Oregon (53% chance53%)
25 predictors (365 days)

Will Starbucks file for Chapter 11 protection by Dec 31, 2009?

Current forecast: 9% chance 17%
19 predictors (365 days)

Will it be reported that the Hugo Chavez Government in Venezuela is bankrupt before 2010?

Current forecast: Venezuelan government bankruptcy not reported (92% chance35%)
16 predictors (365 days)

When will the Bank of England announce the UK recession has ended or is ended?

Current forecast: September 2009 - December 2009 (49% chance1%)
14 predictors (365 days)

Will the S&P 500 close below 575 during 2009?

Current forecast: 1% chance 1%
11 predictors (365 days)

Will the FHA require a bail out from taxpayers before 2011?

Current forecast: 38% chance 38%
11 predictors (365 days)

Will Goldman Sachs Declare Bankruptcy in 2009?

Current forecast: 6% chance 6%
8 predictors (365 days)

NOT replacing Geithner better for Economy?

Current forecast: 7% chance 7%
6 predictors (365 days)

DJIA - What will be the dollar (point) difference between open and close November 23, 2009?

Current forecast: 0 - 50.00 (59% chance59%)
5 predictors (365 days)

will the US gov't realize a profit from the $700B TARP fund by June 1, 2010?

Current forecast: 37% chance 37%
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