Financial Crisis
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43 predictors (365 days)
What will the US Unemployment Rate be in December 2009?
Current forecast: 10.1% to 12.0% (91% chance
89%)31 predictors (365 days)
Will any American financial executives be charged with causing the worldwide financial crisis?
Current forecast: 46% chance
46%30 predictors (365 days)
Will UAL Corp (UAUA) merge or be acquired by another company before December 31, 2009?
Current forecast: No (75% chance
23%)29 predictors (365 days)
What US state will have the most bank failures in November 2009?
Current forecast: Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, or Oregon (53% chance
53%)29 predictors (365 days)
How many Fortune 500 CEO's will be interviewed by Michael Moore for his next film about Wall Street?
Suspended25 predictors (365 days)
Will Starbucks file for Chapter 11 protection by Dec 31, 2009?
Current forecast: 9% chance
17%19 predictors (365 days)
Will it be reported that the Hugo Chavez Government in Venezuela is bankrupt before 2010?
Current forecast: Venezuelan government bankruptcy not reported (92% chance
35%)16 predictors (365 days)
When will the Bank of England announce the UK recession has ended or is ended?
Current forecast: September 2009 - December 2009 (49% chance
1%)11 predictors (365 days)
Will the FHA require a bail out from taxpayers before 2011?
Current forecast: 38% chance
38%11 predictors (365 days)
Will Goldman Sachs Declare Bankruptcy in 2009?
Current forecast: 6% chance
6%6 predictors (365 days)
DJIA - What will be the dollar (point) difference between open and close November 23, 2009?
Current forecast: 0 - 50.00 (59% chance
59%)5 predictors (365 days)
Will Brandeis University actually sell the Rose Art Museum collection in 2009?
Current forecast: 5% chance
5%5 predictors (365 days)
will the US gov't realize a profit from the $700B TARP fund by June 1, 2010?
Current forecast: 37% chance
37%


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