Global Warming
Recent predictions
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45 predictors (365 days)
The denial of protection for the emperor penguin: Will it be overturned?
Current forecast: 46% chance
46%44 predictors (365 days)
Who would win the "Climate Bet" – Al Gore or Wharton Professor Scott Armstrong?
Current forecast: J. Scott Armstrong (72% chance
72%)21 predictors (365 days)
Will any island population need to be relocated due to rising sea levels in 2009?
Current forecast: 13% chance
13%16 predictors (365 days)
Will the Harvard proposal of allowing developing countries to maintain carbon emissions be adopted?
Current forecast: 21% chance
49%13 predictors (365 days)
Will London be buried under sea in the next ten years due to global warming?
Current forecast: 2% chance
13%12 predictors (365 days)
What will be the average global warming for first decade of 21st century?
Current forecast: -0.12C to +0.11C (34% chance
6%)11 predictors (365 days)
Will there be another winter as bad as 2008/9 in the UK in the next 5 years.
Current forecast: 31% chance
31%9 predictors (365 days)
Global Warm-mongering- Will the San Francisco Bay Area be be Flooded Due to Global Warming
Current forecast: 6% chance
6%7 predictors (365 days)
By 2010, the US will have agreed to cut greenhouse gas emissions by:
Current forecast: < 25% (86% chance
37%)3 predictors (365 days)
Will a post-Kyoto agreement be signed by 2012?
Current forecast: 66% chance
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