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48 predictors (365 days)
Will the .eco top level domain name be approved by ICANN?
Current forecast: 79% chance
79%45 predictors (365 days)
The denial of protection for the emperor penguin: Will it be overturned?
Current forecast: 46% chance
46%44 predictors (365 days)
Who would win the "Climate Bet" – Al Gore or Wharton Professor Scott Armstrong?
Current forecast: J. Scott Armstrong (72% chance
72%)41 predictors (365 days)
How many trees per person will we have in the year 2012?
Current forecast: 60-64 Trees Per Person (29% chance
5%)29 predictors (365 days)
What will be First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)'s market cap by the end of 2010?
Current forecast: between $10B and $20B (41% chance
14%)26 predictors (365 days)
Will wind energy be less expensive than fossil-fueled electricity before 2018?
Current forecast: 17% chance
7%20 predictors (365 days)
Will an application for mini nuclear power plants be approved by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission?
Current forecast: 17% chance
47%16 predictors (365 days)
Will the Harvard proposal of allowing developing countries to maintain carbon emissions be adopted?
Current forecast: 21% chance
49%13 predictors (365 days)
Will London be buried under sea in the next ten years due to global warming?
Current forecast: 2% chance
13%13 predictors (365 days)
Will solar energy comprise at least 10% of total electricity output in US by 2011?
Current forecast: 14% chance
12%12 predictors (365 days)
What will be the average global warming for first decade of 21st century?
Current forecast: -0.12C to +0.11C (34% chance
6%)12 predictors (365 days)
When will the Kyoto Treaty be ratified by the United States?
Current forecast: None of these years (72% chance
5%)7 predictors (365 days)
Will a permit be issued for the construction of a new nuclear power plant in the U.S. by 1/1/2010?
Current forecast: 17% chance
41%7 predictors (365 days)
By 2010, the US will have agreed to cut greenhouse gas emissions by:
Current forecast: < 25% (86% chance
37%)


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