Iran
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3 hours ago
frogchop
predicted No on 14 hours ago
22 hours ago
red_pill
predicted None on 2 days ago
predicted No on 2 days ago
2 days ago
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6 predictors (7 days)
Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?
Current forecast: 9% chance
3 predictors (7 days)
Will Iran go to civil war before the end of President Ahmadinejad's term?
Current forecast: 57% chance
3%
2 predictors (7 days)
Will either Israel or the USA attack Iran by the end of 2009?
Current forecast: 12% chance
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1 predictor (7 days)
International Friendly: Axis Of Evil vs. Great Satan (date tbd after 2010 World Cup), who will win?
Current forecast: Axis Of Evil (31% chance)
1 predictor (7 days)
Will Iran announce a suspension of its Uranium enrichment program in 2009?
Current forecast: 19% chance5%
0 predictors (7 days)
Will the U.S. establish a low-level diplomatic presence in Iran in 2009?
Current forecast: 6% chance
0 predictors (7 days)
Will Ahmadinejad still be in power by the end of 2009?
Current forecast: 95% chance
0 predictors (7 days)
What will happen to Mahmud Vahidnia, who dared to criticise Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to his face?
Current forecast: He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen (71% chance1%)
0 predictors (7 days)
Will any Irani minister get arrested by Interpol during 2009?
Current forecast: 6% chance
0 predictors (7 days)
Will Israel Go To War With Iran Before The End of Obama's Current Term in Office?
Current forecast: 44% chance
0 predictors (7 days)
Will Iranian President Ahmadinejad visit Yad Vashem before April 22, 2010?
Current forecast: 9% chance
0 predictors (7 days)
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Will President Obama have face to face negotiations with Ahmajinedad?
Current forecast: No (84% chance)