Iran
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21 hours ago
frogchop
predicted No on 1 day ago
1 day ago
red_pill
predicted None on 2 days ago
predicted No on 3 days ago
3 days ago
predicted No on See:
15 predictors (30 days)
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What will happen to Mahmud Vahidnia, who dared to criticise Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to his face?
Current forecast: He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen (71% chance
71%)
10 predictors (30 days)
Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?
Current forecast: 9% chance
2%
6 predictors (30 days)
Will Iran announce a suspension of its Uranium enrichment program in 2009?
Current forecast: 19% chance6%
4 predictors (30 days)
Will Iran go to civil war before the end of President Ahmadinejad's term?
Current forecast: 57% chance39%
3 predictors (30 days)
Will either Israel or the USA attack Iran by the end of 2009?
Current forecast: 12% chance2%
2 predictors (30 days)
Will the U.S. establish a low-level diplomatic presence in Iran in 2009?
Current forecast: 6% chance11%
2 predictors (30 days)
Will any Irani minister get arrested by Interpol during 2009?
Current forecast: 6% chance2%
1 predictor (30 days)
Will Ahmadinejad still be in power by the end of 2009?
Current forecast: 95% chance1%
1 predictor (30 days)
International Friendly: Axis Of Evil vs. Great Satan (date tbd after 2010 World Cup), who will win?
Current forecast: Axis Of Evil (31% chance1%)
1 predictor (30 days)
Will Iranian President Ahmadinejad visit Yad Vashem before April 22, 2010?
Current forecast: 9% chance
0 predictors (30 days)
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When will Iran's Bushehr nuclear reactor go into operation?
Current forecast: 2010 or later / never (93% chance)
0 predictors (30 days)
curios
Will Israel confirm that it's engaged in anti-nuclear-weapon covert operations inside Iran?
Current forecast: 13% chance