Iran
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14 hours ago
frogchop
predicted No on 1 day ago
1 day ago
red_pill
predicted None on 2 days ago
predicted No on 2 days ago
2 days ago
predicted No on See:
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156 predictors (365 days)
International Friendly: Axis Of Evil vs. Great Satan (date tbd after 2010 World Cup), who will win?
Current forecast: Axis Of Evil (31% chance
31%)
103 predictors (365 days)
Will either Israel or the USA attack Iran by the end of 2009?
Current forecast: 12% chance12%
99 predictors (365 days)
Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?
Current forecast: 9% chance9%
65 predictors (365 days)
Will the U.S. establish a low-level diplomatic presence in Iran in 2009?
Current forecast: 6% chance6%
59 predictors (365 days)
Will Iran announce a suspension of its Uranium enrichment program in 2009?
Current forecast: 19% chance19%
46 predictors (365 days)
Will Iran test a nuclear weapon prior to 2011?
Current forecast: 43% chance43%
37 predictors (365 days)
curios
Will Israel confirm that it's engaged in anti-nuclear-weapon covert operations inside Iran?
Current forecast: 13% chance13%
23 predictors (365 days)
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When will Iran's Bushehr nuclear reactor go into operation?
Current forecast: 2010 or later / never (93% chance93%)
16 predictors (365 days)
Will Iranian President Ahmadinejad visit Yad Vashem before April 22, 2010?
Current forecast: 9% chance9%
15 predictors (365 days)
What will happen to Mahmud Vahidnia, who dared to criticise Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to his face?
Current forecast: He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen (71% chance71%)
15 predictors (365 days)
Will Israel Go To War With Iran Before The End of Obama's Current Term in Office?
Current forecast: 45% chance45%
14 predictors (365 days)
Will any Irani minister get arrested by Interpol during 2009?
Current forecast: 6% chance6%
10 predictors (365 days)
Will President Obama have face to face negotiations with Ahmajinedad?
Current forecast: No (84% chance28%)10 predictors (365 days)
Will Iran go to civil war before the end of President Ahmadinejad's term?
Current forecast: 57% chance57%