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Recent predictions

1 7 30 365
day(s)
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6 predictors (7 days)

Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?

Current forecast: 9% chance
2 predictors (7 days)

Will either Israel or the USA attack Iran by the end of 2009?

Current forecast: 12% chance
1 predictor (7 days)

Will Gilead Shalit be released by end of 2009?

Current forecast: 25% chance 2%
0 predictors (7 days)

Will the United States recognize the state of Palestine?

Current forecast: 40% chance
0 predictors (7 days)

Will the Israeli embassy in Mauritania re-open before March 6, 2019?

Current forecast: 54% chance
0 predictors (7 days)

Will Any country attempt universal jurisdiction and charge any Gazan with a war crime?

Current forecast: No country files charges by settlement (99% chance)
0 predictors (7 days)

Will the Palestinian State be established in 2009?

Current forecast: No (98% chance)
0 predictors (7 days)

What will be the fate of Ali al-Jarrah, the Lebanese man arrested for spying for Israel?

Current forecast: Nothing reported by settlement date (49% chance)
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