Israel
Recent predictions
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10 predictors (30 days)
Will Israel bomb an Iranian nuclear site during 2009?
Current forecast: 9% chance
2%3 predictors (30 days)
Will either Israel or the USA attack Iran by the end of 2009?
Current forecast: 12% chance
2%2 predictors (30 days)
Will Hamas accept Israel's right to exist before Barack Obama's first term ends?
Current forecast: 31% chance
2 predictors (30 days)
Will the United States recognize the state of Palestine?
Current forecast: 40% chance
1 predictor (30 days)
Will Iranian President Ahmadinejad visit Yad Vashem before April 22, 2010?
Current forecast: 9% chance
1 predictor (30 days)
Will Israel pass a law banning Palestinian commemoration of Nakba Day?
Current forecast: 10% chance
4%1 predictor (30 days)
Will any Palestinians be given a death sentence for selling land to Jews?
Current forecast: 24% chance
7%1 predictor (30 days)
Will the Palestinian State be established in 2009?
Current forecast: No (96% chance
2%)0 predictors (30 days)
Will Israel Go To War With Iran Before The End of Obama's Current Term in Office?
Current forecast: 45% chance
1%0 predictors (30 days)
Will the U.S. government support Netanyahu's decision for no war crime trials for the Israelis?
Suspended0 predictors (30 days)
Will the Israeli embassy in Mauritania re-open before March 6, 2019?
Current forecast: 54% chance
0 predictors (30 days)
curios
Will Israel confirm that it's engaged in anti-nuclear-weapon covert operations inside Iran?
Current forecast: 13% chance
0 predictors (30 days)
Will Any country attempt universal jurisdiction and charge any Gazan with a war crime?
Current forecast: No country files charges by settlement (99% chance
)0 predictors (30 days)
What will be the fate of Ali al-Jarrah, the Lebanese man arrested for spying for Israel?
Current forecast: Nothing reported by settlement date (49% chance
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