Palestine
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world    fatah gaza hamas independent israel palestinian palestinian state peace treaty plo west bankRecent predictions
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2 predictors (7 days)
Will Hamas and Fatah agree on a reconciliation plan in 2008?
Current forecast: 22% chance
6%0 predictors (7 days)
Will one or both Palestinian territories declare independence in 2008?
Current forecast: Independence not declared in 2008 (96% chance
1%)0 predictors (7 days)
Will an independent Palestinian state be created by the time President Bush leaves office?
Current forecast: 5% chance
9%0 predictors (7 days)
Will an Israeli/Palestinian peace treaty be signed by time Bush leaves office?
Current forecast: 10% chance
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