Recession
Recent predictions
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72 predictors (365 days)
Will the Bank of England bring interest rates to zero in 2009?
Current forecast: 4% chance
4%35 predictors (365 days)
Two to (con)tango--will oil hit $200 within the next twelve months?
Current forecast: 6% chance
6%31 predictors (365 days)
Will any American financial executives be charged with causing the worldwide financial crisis?
Current forecast: 46% chance
46%23 predictors (365 days)
What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2009?
Current forecast: 10.1% (24% chance
24%)17 predictors (365 days)
When will (or did) the US enter an economic depression?
Current forecast: During or after the second half of 2011, or never (80% chance
80%)16 predictors (365 days)
When will the Bank of England announce the UK recession has ended or is ended?
Current forecast: September 2009 - December 2009 (49% chance
1%)7 predictors (365 days)
Will there still be a print edition of The Age newspaper by December 31 2010?
Current forecast: 66% chance
17%6 predictors (365 days)
Will the economic green shoots theory be debunked in 2009?
Current forecast: 42% chance
42%6 predictors (365 days)
How many of the 50 US states + DC will have double digit unemployment in November 2009?
Current forecast: 16 states (35% chance
35%)4 predictors (365 days)
Will Pajamas Media (aka Open Source Media) survive 2009 without a fresh capital infusion?
Current forecast: 74% chance
74%2 predictors (365 days)
How far will asking prices in Ireland fall between June 2008 and June 2009?
Current forecast: A fall of between 15.01% and 18% (33% chance
33%)
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