Terrorism
When will the next message of Osama bin Laden appear?
Current forecast: May 1, 2009 or later (or never) (78% chance)
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politics world general US Foreign Affairs attack barack obama bin laden communications congress cruise election george bush guantanamo hijack jacqui smith laws lebanon middle east new york city north korea nuclear patriot act peace pirate president president obama queens speech repeal ship syria terrorist terrorist attack terrorist blacklist trains transit systemRecent predictions
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10 hours ago
tsmith4 predicted No, None of the these will occur in 2008 on Will a major cruise line's ship be attacked in 2008, how and by whom?11 hours ago
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predicted No on See:
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14 predictors (7 days)
Will New York City area be host to a terrorist attack on the transit system before Jan. 7th?
Current forecast: 15% chance
2 predictors (7 days)
Will a terror attack be undertaken against the U.S. by the date of the 2009 inauguration
Current forecast: 25% chance
2%1 predictor (7 days)
When will the next message of Osama bin Laden appear?
Current forecast: May 1, 2009 or later (or never) (78% chance
8%)1 predictor (7 days)
Will North Korea be put back on the terrorist blacklist before 2009?
Current forecast: 6% chance1%1 predictor (7 days)
Will the Big Brother 'Database Communications Bill' be included in the Queen's speech in December?
Current forecast: 74% chance
0 predictors (7 days)
How many in the US will die in terrorist attacks during President Obama's first term?
Current forecast: Less than 10 deaths (31% chance2%)
0 predictors (7 days)
When will the PATRIOT Act be repealed?
Current forecast: After January 20, 2017 or Never (47% chance)
0 predictors (7 days)
Will a major cruise line's ship be attacked in 2008, how and by whom?
Current forecast: No, None of the these will occur in 2008 (85% chance1%)
0 predictors (7 days)
When will the last of the Gitmo detainees leave Guantanamo?
Current forecast: There are still detainees in Gitmo in March 2009 (55% chance)
0 predictors (7 days)
Which Middle Eastern Country will be host to the next terrorist attack?
Current forecast: Lebanon (29% chance1%)
0 predictors (7 days)
Will a terrorist attack in which more than 1000 US citizens die occur before Jan. 1st 2011?
Current forecast: 29% chance0 predictors (7 days)
Will President Obama "be tested" as Biden suggested?
Current forecast: month #2 to the 6 month mark (36% chance)
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