Terrorism
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29 predictors (365 days)
How many co-conspirators will be charged in the Fort Hood shooting by January 15, 2010?
Current forecast: None-Nobody else charged (96% chance
96%)27 predictors (365 days)
In 2009 will anymore sporting events be targeted by terrorists?
Current forecast: 36% chance
36%22 predictors (365 days)
Will a terrorist attack in which more than 1000 US citizens die occur before Jan. 1st 2011?
Current forecast: 28% chance
1%17 predictors (365 days)
Will Jose Padilla's lawsuit against Bush era lawyer John Yoo be successful?
Current forecast: 22% chance
22%4 predictors (365 days)
When will the PATRIOT Act be repealed?
Current forecast: After January 20, 2017 or Never (47% chance
)2 predictors (365 days)
Is the CIA collaborating with U.S. philanthropists in CCF-esque propaganda efforts?
Current forecast: 50% chance
50%
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