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Recent predictions

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2 predictors (7 days)

Will the US lose its AAA credit rating in 2009?

Current forecast: 11% chance 7%
1 predictor (7 days)

How many people will Obama replace on the Supreme Court?

Current forecast: Four (46% chance2%)
0 predictors (7 days)

Will Sirius XM Satellite radio claim bankruptcy?

Current forecast: They're able to hang on through the end of 2009 (97% chance)
0 predictors (7 days)

Will the United States recognize the state of Palestine?

Current forecast: 40% chance
0 predictors (7 days)

Will the next US President serve his full first term in office?

Current forecast: 89% chance
0 predictors (7 days)

How many of these States will recognize Gay Marriage by the end of 2009?

Current forecast: 6 States (49% chance)
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