bigken1

I'd love to claim that its because I'm the best prognosticator there ever was... but really its more of a 'returning to the mean' kind of mentality. I think Obama's numbers are still running pretty high and I expect his numbers to trend downwards over the next month or so (although I'd love to be wrong about that!). Good luck this week!

Perhaps a little unobtrusive notice on Hubdub's webpage, with a clickable relocation to this web site for voting... like : "Take 2 secs - Help Hubdub when you log on, and vote for hubdub for Mashables award"

Yep, you can vote once per day: http://www.hubdub.com/m22957/Who_will_win_Mashables_Open_Web_Award_for_Social_News

Let me know if you have any ideas about how to remind people to vote without being too overbearing about it...

Happy to have helped.
What is "vote for us every day?"
Do they want people to "vote every day?"

Thanks for the encouragement.. no time for yoga today, but I made sure to have an extra cookie :) I don't usually let people bother me, but the sweeping statements or propanganda pushing tends to get to me. Oh well, onward and upward, right?

Thanks for the mashable nomination! Looks like we made it!! Now we have to just bug everyone to vote for us every day! :)

You get what you originally bet regardless of whether that has gone up or down.

happy to Jenni..
I know others use other sites.

I ONLY USE Hubdub, and it is great!
Ken

We’ve been nominated for the 2nd Annual Web Awards http://mashable.com/openwebawards/home/. In order to progress to the next round (i.e. official nominee) we need to collect as many nominations as possible. Could you all click on the link and nominate us please? It takes just a second - select Social News as the category.

Hey Ken! I had to void the DNI question because there was an error. It's back up now with the correction. I hope that you will rewager. Sorry for the misstep. --Drake

Kent Tobiska (USC) (?) Should I tell him you said hi? :) (Or maybe should you tell him to give me extra credit!!)

Fair enough... I was hoping there might be a settlement source you knew of that would be able to make a very accurate estimate of the peak solar activity (in 2012) based on the sunspot activity expected to pick up in the next couple of months.
Thanks for note! Jenni

I could put one in, but for two reasons am reluctant to.
1) I am a ringer.. I know what the outcome is going to be (because of my specialized knowledge). Nevertheless, I could not bet on it, so that would be ok.
2) Of more concern, is that the solar maximum will be several years away 2012 or so, so although one can discern whether it will be a large cycle based "on the trajectory" as u say, exactly how large would still be uncertain , if based only on the trajectory...
So, using the trajectory, there would be an uncertain cutoff date too, because the startup is a very erratic process -- we have had a couple of spots in the last month -- a very small start.. does this mean it is delayed, or will be low? or what? Things on the sun move very slowly (years, not months, I am afraid)...

Hey Ken - My professor was just talking about how there's a lot of disagreement in the community about whether or not this is going to be a busy solar cycle.. and that the sun spot activity over the next two months will tell us what kind of trajectory we are on for this cycle. Think there's a question in there? We have a decent number of science saavy users, might be an interesting thing to follow.

I agree, there probably won't be any more 65+ degree days. I'm not 100% sure of this however.

Hi Ken,

Don't really know much about Anchorage - I've never even been to any part of the Americas - and consequently the outcome isn't looking good for me on that question. I put those bets on a while ago, and was thinking 'just one more hot day' because there have already been 13. I assume it's getting a bit late for the year now - the odds certainly indicate that - but I've left the bets on and am hoping for a heatwave. Funny the things you end up betting on on this site.

anytime bigken :-)

hi bigken1,
thanks for the shout. the "multiple regions" option is missing, you're right - i just forgot it.
but, though it might happen that the prize is awarded to more than one person, it is not very likely that these persons are from different regions.
in case it would, maybe the question would simply be voided or double settled - to be decided by the category editor.
thanks for the heads up!

Hi bigken1,

This is in reference to the Ike market. Anyway I just wanted to say that I know that different people are describing the islands in question to be in different areas. It's not in anyway a set thing, it was a 50/50 shot I made for the purposes of the market and I do appreciate the work you put in to find out which area these troublesome islands were in. I have to apologize though for never responding to your second question about "hit dry land." What "hit dry land" means is landfall occurs. For all of our markets we use landfall to recognize a hit or in this case a "hit" from Ike. Is that clearer or are you still confused by the wording?

Regards,
Ryan

Hi Ken - I've voided the maths question :-)

Hi Ken - nice to hear from you, I'm doing very well and hope you are too ... I can't say I'm an expert on caribbean islands (I wish I was though!) but was just referencing some reasonable sources that I researched. I happen to think that Tassie is a legitimate part of Australia, but we don't have to have that argument today ;-)

Ps also - I really liked your math question, but we just can't support those types of questions on Hubdub at the moment - for example, we've had a few questions such as 'Which will be the most popular option - yes or no' that are self-referencing and they act more like quizs than prediction markets. But please feel free to keep on experimenting; it would definitely be good to have some more maths (news-related) questions on site!

One thing that amazes me about hubdub is how much I learn day in and day out from all these different people.

Hey, I just saw that you're a solar physicist. That's cool. I'm taking a space environments class and the lecture today was on the solar environment. Now I know where to go for help on my homework!

Markets feel undervalued. I believe we are just starting to see some improvements in the economy. The worse I believe is over. Housing market, runaway oil prices, so I dropped a bunch of money in these questions. I also have about 20k invested in NFL markets for this week. Check out the NFL landing page.

Hi Ken,

The developers are pretty swamped at the moment. We have put thinking on the market maker on hold for a while. We'll hopefully get back into it in a months time.

Thanks for your input.

Nigel

Hi,

Re: the Maryland lottery question http://www.hubdub.com/m10784/What_will_be_the_10s_digit_in_the_last_number_of_the_maryland_multimatch_drawing_saturday

Apparently, as in normal lotteries, they draw six numbers at random. However, when they publish the results they list them from lowest to highest. The question was really asking what the highest of the six numbers would be.

Cheers

Hi bigken,

Hey you weren't bothering me I'm always happy to help with such things. Although I'll admit on this side of things I may not be the right person to contact, not due to my lack of interest but to my lack of knowledge. Nigel wrote back to me and Tisha about your question. Did Tisha forward you his response?

Cheers,
Ryan

Hi,

In response to your questions:

1) At this time it is not possible to lend money to other users although this has been discussed as a possible future feature.
2) Not sure about this one, Tisha's asked Nigel for a better constructed answer so that should be along soon.

Regards,
Ryan

i am not forlorn as the loss was intentional. i wanted to see if i can stay on the weekly leaderboard with minimal funds. i simply have not had the time to play the game. thanks for the concern

Hi,

Got a small feature update for you to know about: You can make your real name public by going to
My Hubdub-My Account- Privacy users can elect to make their name public or visible to just friends. The default was private, but feel free to change that.

Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Staff

Hi bigken1,

This is in regards to your flag about the bridge disaster market: Looking at the market and the posted background link I'm going to define "disaster" as a bridge failure which leads to fatalities. The other Bridge disaster in 2008, was a bridge failure that led to casualties so they both meet up. We are working to develop clearer definitions for markets such as the bridge disaster, most times due to the amount of new markets the onis is on the creator until an Admin is brought in.

Regards,
Ryan

...nice place to live if your 55... was what I meant to say.

hey dude, I'm from SA but have been in Tokyo 15 years with a few breaks... nice place to live when your if not you

for stones try
www.myspace.com/meanderingsearcher
re the satyaki dialogues try
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/i_am_on_strike
when you get to the get satisfaction site you should sign up. it is where all of the past and future logistics of hubdub are discussed. this thread is a good one for newbies
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/the_golden_rules_for_successfully_playing_the_hubdub

hey bigken, nice to know you, funny thing about that ice shelf is when it does drop it is expected to actually raise the sea level world wide. check out the "recent comments" on the home page. the current ongoing rant can be amusing, don't take it too serious though