Stats
Performance this quarter
- Gain:
+56,623 - Leaderboard: #28
- Best category: Politics (#10)
- Worst category: World (#159)
Some numbers updated hourly
Questions created
dieseldog
Net worth: H$231,597
Predictions made: 2254
Member since Mon 28th Jan
Latest activity
6 hours ago
dieseldog completed
jenniandboys
's challenge to predict Which movie will be #1 at the Box Office this weekend?
20 hours ago
dieseldog completed
jenniandboys
's challenge to predict How many votes in "In God We Trust" MSNBC poll by Monday morning?
20 hours ago
dieseldog completed
jchiang's challenge to predict Fate of lost baby whale by suspension date?
20 hours ago
1 day ago
1 day ago
dieseldog completed
jenniandboys
's challenge to predict How long between Obama and McCain's Vice President announcements?
2 days ago
2 days ago
dieseldog completed
guibraguim's challenge to predict Beijing Olympics - Will any other equipment be reported as missing(by athletes)?
2 days ago
dieseldog completed
jenniandboys
's challenge to predict What will be the result of Monday's Gallup Presidential Poll?
2 days ago
dieseldog completed
ryanj
's challenge to predict Will tornado strikes be reported in Florida on Tuesday due to Fay?
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ryanj![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
Yeah I do to. But I talked the market into staying open. Groans.....
@dd .. There's no hard and fast rule. But once a question has been open for "a while" you don't want to make changes to it because then anyone that had bid on it might be upset. If there's only one or two people, no big deal. But with 20 bets, that's a lot. Hope that helps... its really just a judgement call.
That's ok. You're always welcome to decline a challenge I (or anyone really) sends you. No hurt feelings whatsoever. I know not everyone is interested in the same topics!
Performance this quarter
Gain: +9,619
Leaderboard: #20
Best category: General (#6)
Worst category: Science (#740) 7-06-08 2:15 pm EST Net worth: H$183,473
Performance this quarter
Gain: +12,091
Leaderboard: #17
Best category: Politics (#4)
Worst category: Science (#254) 7-06-08 3:18 am EST Net worth: H$185,925
the "gain" this is referring to is my quartley gain. i never lost $2,472 over night. is this saying my "cashin" value (on my open predictions) increased by $2,472 over night? if so my networth shouldn't have went down..correct? only thing i see consistent is science is my worse catagory.
Yes, these quarterly gains are going to be driven by the value of your predictions. If you put a 10,000 bet on something and no one agrees with you, your 10,000 may drop to have a cash in value of only 100. This would cause your Predictions and your Net Worth to drop by 9,900 h$.
Gain: +9,619
Leaderboard: #20
Best category: General (#6)
Worst category: Science (#740) 7-06-08 2:15 pm EST Net worth: H$183,473
Performance this quarter
Gain: +12,091
Leaderboard: #17
Best category: Politics (#4)
Worst category: Science (#254) 7-06-08 3:18 am EST Net worth: H$185,925
the "gain" this is referring to is my quartley gain. i never lost $2,472 over night. is this saying my "cashin" value (on my open predictions) increased by $2,472 over night? if so my networth shouldn't have went down..correct? only thing i see consistent is science is my worse catagory.
Yes, these quarterly gains are going to be driven by the value of your predictions. If you put a 10,000 bet on something and no one agrees with you, your 10,000 may drop to have a cash in value of only 100. This would cause your Predictions and your Net Worth to drop by 9,900 h$.
Ok.. gonna give this a try..
You: "if i add my settled predictions for 365 days + my cashed in predictions for 365 days + $20 for every day i've logged in + the $1,000 i started with + $300 for friends who signed up + the cash i have bet (open predictions) just the bet not the cashin value....would that not be close to what my net worth would be?"
Me: No, you end up double counting if you do it that way. Your networth is only your cash on hand and the money you currently have in predictions. The thousand you started with and the 20$ a day, etc have likely been invested in other things, so you end up double counting them if you try to count them separately. Also, when you look at the money you have in predictions, it is important to look at the cash in value, not the amount that you bet in the beginning.
You: "if i add my settled predictions for 365 days + my cashed in predictions for 365 days + $20 for every day i've logged in + the $1,000 i started with + $300 for friends who signed up + the cash i have bet (open predictions) just the bet not the cashin value....would that not be close to what my net worth would be?"
Me: No, you end up double counting if you do it that way. Your networth is only your cash on hand and the money you currently have in predictions. The thousand you started with and the 20$ a day, etc have likely been invested in other things, so you end up double counting them if you try to count them separately. Also, when you look at the money you have in predictions, it is important to look at the cash in value, not the amount that you bet in the beginning.
sorry, i'm not ignoring you.. but I'm going to be out of the house most of today, so it will probably be tomorrow before i can think through it properly and respond to you.
gotcha this time....I'll try to make sure I leave ya off the group when I send these out...if I goof up, my apologies in advance...thanks





